Peter Garret will split from Labour to form another political party within the next six months.
Created by d403 on 2010-02-28; known on 2010-09-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-09-01.
- d403 estimated 98% on 2010-02-28
- gwern estimated 5% on 2010-07-30
- gwern said “Wikipedia doesn’t mention anything about him resigning as minister of whatever, so I’m marking this one wrong.” on 2010-09-01
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2010-09-01.
Please log in to respond to or judge prediction