Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 41% | 58% | 67% | 81% | 90% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 51 | 59 | 60 | 75 | 79 | 6 | 330 |
Displaying all predictions made by sweeneyrod. Filter by:
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A will be at the lesson ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-27; known on 2014-11-27; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-28.
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In hindsight, Uber valued at $40b will be identified as the one of key triggers of the 2014-2016 bubble. ( 30% confidence; 10 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by RandomThinker on 2014-11-26; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-09-02.
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I will be a Worm character for Halloween ( 17% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-26; known on 2015-11-01; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2016-01-16.
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This wager will have an average estimate of 25-75% on Jan 10th, 2015. ( 69% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by from3004 on 2014-11-26; known on 2015-01-10; judged right by adri on 2015-01-10.
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Justen Zhang will change major at least once by December 2015 ( 43% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by from3004 on 2014-11-26; known on 2015-12-16.
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I will finish CA today ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-25; known on 2014-11-26; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-26.
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I will have over 20 predictions to be judged by 16th January ( 40% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-25; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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I will have over 10 due predictions on 16th January ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-25; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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I will buy a Yamaha by January ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-25; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-09.
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There will be no single event causing the death of over 1 billion people (hereafter defined as an “apocalypse”) before January ( 98% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-24; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by kuudes on 2015-01-05.
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I still have no replies from the press ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-24; known on 2014-11-24; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-24.
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I will have begun using Evernote by next week ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-24; known on 2014-12-01; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-01.
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I will have over 300 predictions by 2016 ( 34% confidence; 19 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-24; known on 2016-01-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2016-01-16.
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I will have over 100 complete predictions by August ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-24; known on 2015-08-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-08-16.
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I will have over 45 completed predictions by January ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-24; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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Man U will beat/draw against Hull ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-23; known on 2014-11-30; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-30.
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Swansea will beat/draw against Crystal Palace ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-23; known on 2014-11-30; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-30.
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Aston Villa will beat/draw against Burnley ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-23; known on 2014-11-30; judged right by dpchalmers on 2014-11-29.
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Liverpool will beat/draw against Stoke ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-23; known on 2014-11-30; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-30.
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Arsenal will beat or draw against West Brom ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-23; known on 2014-11-30; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-30.
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QPR will beat or draw against Leicester ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-23; known on 2014-11-30; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-30.
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I will get a new computer by October ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-20; known on 2015-10-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2016-01-16.
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I will buy a Oneplus ( 40% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-20; known on 2015-03-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
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I will win this next game ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-20; known on 2014-11-20; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-23.
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The Republicans will repeal the ACA by November 2015. *I'm going to withdraw this prediction as I wasn't thinking that the Republicans do not hold enough seats to override a presidential veto. ( 23% confidence; 10 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by ren on 2014-11-11; known on 2015-11-08; judged wrong by NathanMcKnight on 2015-11-04.
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There will be less than 10 wagers on this prediction by the New Year ( 76% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-19; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-02.
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One of my predictions will be the top prediction on 16th of January ( 30% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-19; known on 2015-01-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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The top prediction (the first listed on the homepage) on 16th January won't have been decided yet ( 90% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-19; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by woodse on 2015-01-16.
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England won't win the next World Cup ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-18; known on 2014-11-18.
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I will be level 11 in Italian by December ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-18; known on 2014-12-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-16.
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There will be more than 3 people at JB ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-18; known on 2014-11-25; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-25.
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We will win the UKMT ( 10% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-17; known on 2014-11-19; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-18.
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We will come above 5th in the UKMT ( 40% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-17; known on 2014-11-19; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-18.
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We will come above 15th in the UKMT ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-17; known on 2014-11-19; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-18.
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I will upgrade my computer by January ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-16; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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There will be more than 3 people at JB on Tuesday ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-16; known on 2014-11-18; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-18.
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No body is found, no murder charge filed, and no confession is given regarding “MP murdering a child” story. ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-11-16; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by rebellionkid on 2016-01-05.
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I will still be using PB by October ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-15; known on 2015-10-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2016-01-16.
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JH will get a baritone by September ( 50% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-14; known on 2015-09-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2016-01-16.
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More than 3 RDGers will watch WWRY (not including me, or N) ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-14; known on 2015-03-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
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My Italian deck will have over 1000 cards by January ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-14; known on 2015-01-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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J's brother will join JB ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-13; known on 2015-09-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2016-01-16.
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The next president won't be a Democrat ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-13; known on 2016-12-16; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-09.
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Labour will get the biggest share of the vote next election ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-13; known on 2015-06-16; judged wrong by splorridge on 2015-06-16.
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G will come to the WWRY rehearsal ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-13; known on 2014-11-14; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-13.
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J will come to the WWRY rehearsal ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-13; known on 2014-11-14; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-13.
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R will come to the WWRY rehearsal ( 40% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-13; known on 2014-11-14; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-13.
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Shanghai is the 3rd largest city in China (including Hong Kong) ( 30% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-12; known on 2014-11-12; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-12.
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Dallas is one of the 20th largest cities in the US ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-12; known on 2014-11-12; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-12.
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Nottingham is one of the 30th largest cities in England ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-12; known on 2014-11-12; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-12.
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Chelsea will beat or draw against West Brom ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-11; known on 2014-11-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-23.
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Stoke will beat Burnley ( 50% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-11; known on 2014-11-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-23.
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Man City will beat Swansea ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-11; known on 2014-11-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-23.
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I will achieve a new PB by October ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-10; known on 2015-10-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2016-09-16.
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I will achieve a new PB by February ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-10; known on 2015-02-15; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-02-15.
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I will achieve a new PB before December ( 50% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-10; known on 2014-12-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-16.
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I will be able to do a free-standing handstand for more than 15 seconds by January ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-09; known on 2015-01-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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I will finish the sequences by December ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-09; known on 2014-12-25; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-25.
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I will go to Parkrun on Christmas ( 40% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-09; known on 2014-12-25; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-25.
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I will have done all the homework for tomorrow ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-09; known on 2014-11-10; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-10.
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I won't convert to Christianity within the next year ( 99% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-08; known on 2015-10-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2016-01-16.
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It will snow before March ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-08; known on 2015-03-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
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I will still have 15 or more followers on Twitter by January ( 90% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-08; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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Conditional on myself, PC or M not doing it, Mr Brightside will be played in 'the karaoke room' whilst I am present ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2014-11-07; known on 2014-11-08; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2014-11-09.
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The sun will rise tomorrow ( 100% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-07; known on 2014-11-08; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-08.
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My religious opinions will be unchanged by December ( 99% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-07; known on 2014-12-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-16.
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Chelsea will win the premier league ( 25% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-06; known on 2015-06-16; judged right by RoryS on 2015-05-05.
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Either Chelsea, Man U or Man City n will win the premier league ( 50% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-06; known on 2015-06-16; judged right by RoryS on 2015-05-23.
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Either Chelsea, Man U, Man City or Arsenal will win the premier league ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-06; known on 2015-06-16; judged right by RoryS on 2015-05-23.
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Either Chelsea, Man U, Man City, Arsenal or Liverpool will win the premier league ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-06; known on 2015-06-16; judged right by RoryS on 2015-05-23.
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Either Chelsea, Man U, Man City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Tottenham or Southhampton will win the premier league ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-06; known on 2015-06-16; judged right by RoryS on 2015-05-23.
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At least one of Leicester City, Burnley and Queens Park Rangers will be relegated. ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-06; known on 2015-06-16; judged right by RoryS on 2015-05-23.
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I will get through to the next stage of the UMKT ( 30% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-06; known on 2015-02-15; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-17.
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I will get a Gold in the UKMT ( 50% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-06; known on 2015-02-15; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-17.
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I will get at least a Silver in the UKMT ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-06; known on 2015-02-15; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-17.
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I will get at least a Bronze on the UKMT ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-06; known on 2015-03-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-17.
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In the US, a federal government shut-down will occur before the next presidential election. ( 40% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-11-05; known on 2016-11-08; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2016-11-09.
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We will have permanent off-Earth colonies by 2020 ( 10% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-04; known on 2020-01-16; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-01-17.
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Nothing will pass the Turing Test before 2017 ( 88% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-04; known on 2017-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2017-01-16.
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I will still be alive by Christmas ( 100% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-04; known on 2014-12-25; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-25.
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I will make another sling by March ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-03; known on 2015-03-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
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I will read Winning Ways by March ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-03; known on 2015-03-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
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I will have no overdue tasks on January 1st ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-03; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-02.
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I will still be alive on Friday ( 99% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-02; known on 2014-11-07; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-07.
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If I do the first stage, I will get through to the next stage of the BIO ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-02; known on 2015-01-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-09.
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I will reach level 12 on Duolingo by June ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-02; known on 2015-06-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
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I'll finish the first chapter of TAOCP by January ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-01; known on 2015-01-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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The next government will be a coalition ( 65% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-01; known on 2015-05-16; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-05-08.
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Britain will still be part of the EU in 2016 ( 93% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-01; known on 2016-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2016-01-16.
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Hendo Hoverboards indeed delivers working hoverboards by the end of the year 2015. ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by orthonormal on 2014-11-01; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by orthonormal on 2019-12-31.
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Elon Musk is from California or New York ( 50% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-31; known on 2014-10-31; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-31.
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Elon Musk is from the North-East, California, or outside of the US ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-31; known on 2014-10-31; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-31.
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Elon Musk is from the USA ( 95% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-31; known on 2014-10-31; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-31.
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The Queen is older than 88 ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-30; known on 2014-10-30; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-30.
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The queen is older than 83 ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-30; known on 2014-10-30; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-30.
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The queen is older than 80 ( 95% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-30; known on 2014-10-30; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-30.
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KnossOS will get more than 1 upvote on at least 1 sub ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-30; known on 2014-11-02; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-02.
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There will be a manned mission to Mars by 2017 ( 7% confidence; 12 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-29; known on 2017-01-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2017-01-16.
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There will be a manned mission to Mars by 2020 ( 30% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-29; known on 2020-01-16; judged wrong by dvolk on 2020-01-10.
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There will be a manned mission to Mars by 2025 ( 34% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-29; known on 2025-01-16.