Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 40% | 71% | 25% | 50% | 77% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 5 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 36 |
Displaying all predictions made by LouisLC. Filter by:
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Portuguese government still provides free Covid vaccines by 1st Nov 2022 ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by LouisLC on 2022-05-14; known on 2022-11-01; judged right by LouisLC on 2022-11-01.
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Blue Monday Festival (https://bluemondayfestival.com/) will be postponed ( 50% confidence )
Created by LouisLC on 2021-12-27; known on 2022-01-20; judged right by LouisLC on 2022-01-20.
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Lula will be elected Brazil's next president in 2022. ( 55% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by okayspm on 2021-10-04; known on 2022-12-11.
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Portugal's Covid Vaccination – I (a healthy 27 year old who didn't yet get the 1st dose) will get my 2nd dose during 2022 ( 43% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by LouisLC on 2021-05-02; known on 2022-04-01; judged wrong by LouisLC on 2021-11-03.
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2021 Portuguese presidential election – Abstention higher than 50% ( 60% confidence )
Created by LouisLC on 2020-06-06; known on 2021-01-25; judged right by LouisLC on 2021-01-26.
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Portugal – countrywide COVID-19 vaccination campaign has started by the end of 2020 ( 13% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by LouisLC on 2020-06-06; known on 2021-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.