PredictionBook transitioning to read-only mode at the end of 2023 ( read more ).

Statistics

Confidence 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Total
Accuracy 43% 63% 71% 83% 93% 95%  
Sample Size 373 575 496 412 690 110 2656

Calibration

Current Brier score 0.1609

Displaying all predictions made by gwern. Filter by: