Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 42% | 100% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 26 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 52 |
Displaying all predictions made by Jotto999. Filter by:
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We will fairly convincingly know who Satoshi Nakamoto is in five years. ( 20% confidence; 14 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by JohnGreer on 2018-04-13; known on 2023-04-13; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2023-08-31.
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Pessoa to beat Santos at Nemesis FC 1 ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Cato on 2018-05-26; known on 2018-06-03.
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OPEC will vote to increase oil production on June 22. ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2018-06-19; known on 2018-06-23; judged right by Cato on 2018-06-23.
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HK's Basic Law to be cancelled in 2018. ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2018-06-19; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-01-02.
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Results about my two unjudged wagers to remain unannounced in through June EOM. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Cato on 2018-06-19; known on 2018-07-01; judged right by Cato on 2018-07-16.
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No new US tariffs on Chinese goods to go into effect on July 6. ( 31% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2018-06-19; known on 2018-07-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2018-07-10.
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Germany will win the 2018 FIFA World Cup. ( 50% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by ldor_11 on 2018-06-18; known on 2018-07-15; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2018-06-29.
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Kanye or Kim will run for President in 2020. ( 43% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by ldor_11 on 2018-06-18; known on 2020-11-04; judged right by arrowinthedark on 2020-11-08.
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SITSA Act is signed into law. ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by avi on 2018-06-17; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Dapple on 2019-01-02.
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The “3 Cal” proposal to create three different California states gets a majority of votes in the 2018 election ( 4% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by peter_hurford on 2018-06-17; known on 2018-12-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-11-10.
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Politics, US – The US Federal government announces that the policy of separating migrant children from their parents as a routine practice is to be ended before the end of July 2018. ( 41% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-16; known on 2018-08-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2018-08-12.
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Politics, UK – Permission is granted or objections withdrawn by the Home Office to permitting Billy Caldwell to have a prescription for a THC-containing medical product before the end of July 2018. ( 43% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-16; known on 2018-08-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2018-08-06.
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Politics, UK – Bill specifically illegalising upskirting passes the House of Commons before the end of July 2018. ( 36% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-16; known on 2018-08-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-08-12.
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Russia will win the world cup ( 15% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by max on 2018-06-15; known on 2018-07-16; judged wrong by max on 2018-07-11.
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For the rest of the month, I will spend less than $75 on food that is NOT from grocery stores. Alcohol and coffee and things like that are counted. ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by dnti808 on 2018-06-14; known on 2018-07-01; judged right by dnti808 on 2018-07-02.
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My relationship with my girlfriend lasts at least until the end of 2018 ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by avi on 2018-06-12; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by avi on 2018-08-13.
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By January 1, 2031, known that there is no odd perfect number less than 10^2500 ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2018-06-11; known on 2031-01-01.
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Personal – I will be free to go to the movies on Saturday 16 June. ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by moyamo on 2018-06-11; known on 2018-06-17; judged right by moyamo on 2018-06-17.
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Politics – Trump claims that the North Koreans were not serious/deceptive about the meeting between him and Kim Jong Un at some point before the end of June 2018. ( 39% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-10; known on 2018-07-01; judged wrong by playablecharacter on 2018-07-07.
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Politics, EU – Article 13 of the Copyright Directive passes before the end of June 2018. ( 53% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-10; known on 2018-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-07-06.
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Politics, US – An additional state after Illinois ratifies the Equal Rights Amendment by the end of July 2018. ( 28% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-08; known on 2018-08-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-08-12.
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I believe that everyone my company is asking to verify I-9 forms is about to be laid off. Along with those forms they will be asked to sign an “employment at will” form which will allow the company to lay them off with no severance. ( 74% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by drolma on 2018-06-08; known on 2018-09-01.
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Personal, Goals – I successfully complete Andrew Ng's Machine Learning course on Coursera by the end of the 27th of August 2018. ( 76% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-03; known on 2018-07-28; judged right by jbeshir on 2018-07-09.
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Politics, US – Former FBI Deputy Andrew McCabe charged for lying under oath by end of June 2018. ( 24% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-02; known on 2018-07-01; judged wrong by max on 2018-07-11.
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Politics, US – New Hampshire Governor signs HB 1319 before the end of June 2018. ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-02; known on 2018-07-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2018-08-12.
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Business, UK – Northern restores all cancelled daily rail services by the end of the 1st of August 2018. ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-02; known on 2018-08-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-08-12.
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Politics, World – EU applies retaliatory tariffs to imports from the US by end of July 2018. ( 71% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-02; known on 2018-08-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2018-08-12.
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In the 2018 NBA Playoffs, Golden State will beat Cleveland. ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by davatk on 2018-06-01; known on 2018-06-18; judged right by davatk on 2018-06-16.
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I have exercised 260 days this year. ( 23% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Bruno Parga on 2018-05-31; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-11-10.
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I have exercised 250 days this year. ( 43% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Bruno Parga on 2018-05-31; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-11-17.
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Blue Origin's New Shepard to carry humans past Karman line (100km altitude) in the next 12 months. ( 50% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-05-30; known on 2019-05-30; judged wrong by stepan on 2019-06-08.
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Virgin Galactic to pass Karman line (100km altitude) within 12 months. ( 47% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-05-30; known on 2019-05-30; judged wrong by AlexLamson on 2019-05-30.
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RVA to beat Gutierrez at JFL 19 ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2018-05-26; known on 2018-05-27; judged right by Cato on 2018-06-13.
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Benkaci to beat Orlov at Octogone 2 ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2018-05-26; known on 2018-05-27; judged right by Cato on 2018-06-13.
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Seiji Akao to beat Myung Gu Kim at Geat 42 ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2018-05-26; known on 2018-05-28; judged wrong by Cato on 2018-06-13.
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Wenbo Liu to beat Marcelo Tenorio at Rebel FC 8 ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2018-05-26; known on 2018-05-31; judged right by Cato on 2018-06-13.
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Janssen to beat Zeitner at WLMMA 40 ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2018-05-26; known on 2018-06-03; judged wrong by Cato on 2018-06-13.
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Milson Castro to beat Daniel Ucan Avila at Mayan Fight Night ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Cato on 2018-05-26; known on 2018-06-10; judged right by Cato on 2018-09-04.
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Issa will get a PhD ( 10% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by playablecharacter on 2018-05-12; known on 2035-01-01.
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Trump wins Nobel ( 10% confidence; 41 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by playablecharacter on 2018-05-03; known on 2030-01-01.
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North Korea explodes a nuclear missile outside of internationally recognized North Korean territory ( 15% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by JTPeterson on 2018-12-26.
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World War 3 to begin in 2018. (Formal war involving at least three large, developed nations, with some on separate sides). ( 0% confidence; 15 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-04-16; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by kuudes on 2019-01-01.
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Donald Trump will lose the next election. ( 62% confidence; 15 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2018-04-03; known on 2020-11-04; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2020-11-07.
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TESS will launch before the end of April (there will be no further major delays to its launch). ( 73% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-29; known on 2018-05-01; judged right by Athrithalix on 2018-04-27.
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Electron rocket to launch before the end of March. ( 12% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-22; known on 2018-04-01; judged wrong by Jotto999 on 2018-04-01.
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USDJPY goes below 105.24 at any point during March 2018. ( 45% confidence )
Created by Jotto999 on 2018-03-18; known on 2018-04-01; judged right by Jotto999 on 2018-03-22.
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Trump meets Kim ( 72% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by playablecharacter on 2018-03-09; known on 2019-01-01; judged right by JTPeterson on 2018-06-12.
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Current Iranian regime is overthrown by April 2018 ( 6% confidence; 15 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by ioannes on 2018-01-02; known on 2018-04-01; judged wrong by ioannes on 2018-04-02.
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Donald Trump will not be impeached throughout his first term. ( 65% confidence; 22 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Verres on 2017-12-21; known on 2021-01-20; judged wrong by JTPeterson on 2019-12-31.
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Putin will be chosen as president in 2018 #research #politics_russia ( 86% confidence; 10 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by crabman on 2017-06-17; known on 2018-03-19; judged right by timmartin on 2018-03-19.
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The spot price of silver will be $50/troy oz. or more at some point before December 31, 2013. ( 26% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by dakyne on 2013-01-01; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2014-01-02.
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3D technologies (like 3D TV channels) will become widespread by the year 2013. Football matches will be screened in 3D as well. ( 48% confidence; 8 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by Selector on 2012-04-26; known on 2013-01-31; judged wrong by alexyakushev on 2013-02-01.