PredictionBook transitioning to read-only mode at the end of 2023 ( read more ).

During the election of 2024 for President, both Independents and Republicans (the Republicans had been in decline) will put up vigorous campaigns against the Democrat.

Created by Turtleread on 2012-11-05; known on 2023-04-21

  • Turtleread estimated 85% on 2012-11-05
  • gwern said “as with the other – delusional but not giving a percentage until specific objective criteria are listed.on 2012-11-05
  • NathanMcKnight said “GOP may be vigorous, but probably insignificant by that time, IMHO. Not sure what “Independents” means. There will probably be a significant third party…probably Libertarians…possibly eclipsing Republicans in vote share. on 2012-11-06
  • themusicgod1 said “define vigorouson 2016-10-10

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