Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
Displaying all predictions made by deanmullen2014. Filter by:
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There will be a notable tragedy during new years celebrations somewhere in the world tonight ( 25% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by deanmullen2014 on 2013-12-31; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by kuudes on 2014-12-01.
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Ireland will legalize Marijuana between 2021 and 2024 ( 15% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by deanmullen2014 on 2013-12-31; known on 2025-01-01.
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Brazil will beat Argentina in the 2030 World Cup Final in Beonas Aires. ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by deanmullen2014 on 2013-12-31; known on 2030-07-31.
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You know what's hip if you know the name Peter Singer in 2150. People know his name now (2013) but he will be a Descartes, a Newton come 2150. ( 28% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by deanmullen2014 on 2013-12-31; known on 2150-01-01.
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The outbreak of a civil war in Bahrain between Summer and Autumn 2014 ( 14% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by deanmullen2014 on 2013-12-31; known on 2014-10-31; judged wrong by kuudes on 2014-11-04.
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At least 90% of the developed world (probably more like 98%) will be consuming In-Vitro meat (they'll have a more popular name by then) instead of conventional meat by 2070. ( 80% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by deanmullen2014 on 2013-12-31; known on 2070-01-01.
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Chelsea Manning will be be pardoned by the US government and undergo transgender surgery and become a popular advocate of free information in the US in the 2040s and 2050s ( 14% confidence; 7 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by deanmullen2014 on 2013-12-31; known on 2055-01-01.
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Uganda will legalize Gay Marriage by 2130. Yes you read that right! It will probably occur in the 2110s or 2120s. ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by deanmullen2014 on 2013-12-31; known on 2130-01-01.
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A Transhumanist Organization's HQ's on the Moon will be tragically bombed by backward thinking Neo-Luddist's in the 2120s ( 15% confidence )
Created by deanmullen2014 on 2013-12-31; known on 2130-01-01.
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Neo-Luddist's will be the Al-Qaeda of the 2110's. ( 50% confidence )
Created by deanmullen2014 on 2013-12-31; known on 2115-01-01.
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Created by deanmullen2014 on 2013-12-31; known on 2110-01-01.
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An Anti-Specieist World by 2150. Animal Exploitation will be a thing of the past, old blatant discrimination no longer accepted and the reduction of wild animal suffering a real task. ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by deanmullen2014 on 2013-12-31; known on 2150-01-01.
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The world will be fully directly democratic by 2170! The world will be self-governed by it's people, probably nationless (definitely in culture, society and economics) but not a global state ( 32% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by deanmullen2014 on 2013-12-31; known on 2170-01-01.
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A leak or source from inside the NSA indicates that a surveillance program forbidden after today by the Supreme Court, another federal court, or act of congress has continued with little to no disruption ( 66% confidence; 7 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by tedks on 2013-12-29; known on 2018-12-29; judged unknown by tedks on 2021-06-14.
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A virtual reality headset (Oculus Rift-esque) sells more than a million units within the next 5 years. ( 85% confidence; 23 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by adbge on 2013-12-26; known on 2018-12-26; judged right by bendini on 2017-06-05.
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There will be a population boom in arctic communities in the next hundred years. ( 50% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2013-12-16; known on 2113-12-16.
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Barack Obama to attempt to run for a third term as President (either through Constitutional amendment or other method). ( 0% confidence; 41 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2013-11-24; known on 2016-12-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-11-09.