Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
Displaying all predictions made by omni. Filter by:
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China will attempt an invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025. ( 20% confidence; 18 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by najdorf on 2021-04-09; known on 2025-12-31.
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[Personal] Student paper on total difference labeling/total difference chromatic numbers to be published by September 25, 2022 ( 43% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2021-08-05; known on 2022-09-26; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2022-09-26.
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The monolithic one-party policy of the CCP will have been abolished by 2050 ( 25% confidence )
Created by omni on 2021-07-23; known on 2050-01-01.
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Coal burning will amount for less than 5% of the energy consumed in Germany by the year 2035 ( 25% confidence )
Created by omni on 2021-07-23; known on 2035-01-01.
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In the federal elections in Germany 2021 on Sept 26th, the center-right parties CDU+CSU will receive the majority of votes. ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by omni on 2021-07-23; known on 2021-09-27; judged wrong by stepan on 2021-09-27.
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In the federal elections in Germany 2021 on Sept 26th, the center-right party CDU will receive the majority of votes. ( 98% confidence )
Created by omni on 2021-07-23; known on 2021-09-27.
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Open AI will announce a new language model at least 100x bigger than GPT-3 (175Gb) in number of parameters before the end of 2022 ( 47% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by razcle on 2021-07-21; known on 2023-01-01; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2023-01-01.
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COVID, UK – UK exceeds a seven-day average of 100 deaths per day again (after this prediction) before the end of 2021. ( 83% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2021-07-11; known on 2022-01-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2022-01-02.
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China knew origins of Covid-19 before the rest of the world and did not disclose that information ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by EricClampton on 2021-06-28; known on 2022-03-05; judged right by God on 2022-04-01.
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The wuhan wet market did not facilitate the spread of Covid-19 ( 25% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by EricClampton on 2021-06-28; known on 2022-03-05; judged wrong by God on 2022-04-27.
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John McAfee faked his own death ( 4% confidence; 12 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by XORXERY on 2021-06-24; known on 2030-04-01.
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P=NP or P≠NP will be proven in either direction by 2050 ( 31% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by scatterspace on 2021-06-14; known on 2050-12-31.
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Alexei Navalny (Alexei Anatolievich Navalny) (born 4 June 1976) dies within five (5) years ( 67% confidence; 21 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by two2thehead on 2021-04-13; known on 2026-04-13.
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Will we be able to upload our consciousness to the cloud by the year 3000? ( 53% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by kadavy on 2021-03-29; known on 3000-01-01.
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By 2040 the US remains the world's strongest economic power, as measured by GDP. — Axel Boldt ( 33% confidence; 9 wagers; 10 comments )
Created by Pablo on 2012-10-01; known on 2041-01-01.
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Extraterrestrial life will be confirmed on at least one body by 2050. ( 47% confidence; 22 wagers; 11 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-06-09; known on 2050-01-01.