Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 64% | 63% | 72% | 81% | 90% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 72 | 204 | 299 | 365 | 194 | 14 | 1148 |
Displaying all predictions made by jbeshir. Filter by:
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The 8chan board /ratanon/ is back up with or without earlier posts by the end of the 14th of April 2017. ( 25% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-09; known on 2017-04-15; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-04-15.
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UK – Culprit of acid attack in Islington identified and identified to have had religious motivations by end of April 2017. ( 63% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-09; known on 2017-05-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-05-04.
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Politics, Europe – Greek delayed bailout payment negotiations conclude with agreement to release the payment, by end of April 2017. ( 68% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-09; known on 2017-05-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-05-04.
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Politics, US – Steve Bannon is demoted in some fashion or leaves the White House before the end of April 2017 ( 47% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-08; known on 2017-05-01; judged wrong by ioannes on 2017-05-01.
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Politics, US – Steve Bannon leaves the White House by the end of April 2017 ( 34% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-08; known on 2017-05-01; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-05-01.
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Syria – Further Western strikes occur on Syrian Arab Army targets before the end of May 2017. ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-08; known on 2017-06-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-06-01.
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Syria – A chemical weapon attack involving a nerve agent occurs between 8th April 2017 and the end of 2017, committed by any party. ( 33% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-08; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by playablecharacter on 2018-01-01.
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Syria – Credible forensic evidence that a chemical weapons storage or manufacturing location existed in Khan Sheikhoun emerges before the end of 2017. ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-08; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-01-03.
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Politics, US – Deal struck involving at least one Democrat to confirm Gorsuch to Supreme Court in April. ( 22% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-01; known on 2017-05-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-04-07.
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Politics, US – Constitutional option used to confirm Gorsuch to Supreme Court in April. ( 38% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-01; known on 2017-05-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-04-07.
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Politics, UK – Ken Livingstone is expelled from Labour as a result of the disciplinary hearing on his comments claiming Hitler supported Zionism. ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-31; known on 2017-04-05; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-04-07.
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SpaceX – Launch using a reused first stage successfully lands the first stage again without destroying it. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-30; known on 2017-03-31; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-03-30.
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SpaceX – Launch using a reused first stage successfully delivers payload to orbit. ( 85% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-30; known on 2017-03-31; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-03-30.
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Tech – The Samsung S8, as released, has no home button. ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-26; known on 2017-03-30; judged right by two2thehead on 2017-03-29.
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Politics, US – Paul Ryan still Speaker of the House of Representatives up to end of April. ( 73% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-26; known on 2017-05-01; judged right by ioannes on 2017-05-01.
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Fiction, Webcomics, Erfworld – Wanda returns to Gobwin Knob during pages 247 to 250. ( 12% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-26; known on 2017-04-09; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-04-09.
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Tech – Google Hangouts shows a notification or message on opening the app on the 27th March in the US and/or UK directing users to switch to another app for SMS. ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-25; known on 2017-03-28; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-03-31.
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Politics, UK – Power-sharing administration established in Northern Ireland before the end of the three week deadline. ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-04; known on 2017-03-28; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-03-30.
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2017 Mar 23 The AHCA act will not pass congress today ( 70% confidence; 5 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by two2thehead on 2017-03-23; known on 2017-03-28; judged right by two2thehead on 2017-03-24.
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Technology – Microsoft implements a block on Windows 7 and/or Windows 8.1 accessing Windows Update while running on the the latest Intel and/or AMD processor architectures before the end of April 2017. ( 70% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-18; known on 2017-05-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-04-14.
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Politics, US – Records, forensic evidence, or sourced testimony from officials who were within the intelligence community during the previous US administration is released before the end of March 2017 supporting Trump's claim of being wiretapped. ( 22% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-17; known on 2017-04-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-04-02.
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Fiction, Webseries, Twig – Helen survives through to the end of 17.14. ( 60% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-12; known on 2017-03-19; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-03-18.
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Fiction, Webcomics, Guilded Age – Both potential warchief trolls survive their fight. ( 70% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-12; known on 2017-03-26; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-03-27.
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Community Project – Challenger Day is run in the UK before the end of April 2017, being run defined as being announced and having at least five people attend. ( 65% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-12; known on 2017-05-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-05-04.
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Community Project – Rationalist calendar project will have identified at least one of an event or relevant reading for every day of the year before the end of 2017-04-12. ( 34% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-12; known on 2017-04-13; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-04-14.
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Iraq – Mass grave at Badoush prison confirmed by sources outside Hashd al-Shaabi and contains the remains of at least 200 people by the end of 2017-03-26. ( 68% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-12; known on 2017-03-27; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-03-31.
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Vipul Naik will be banned from editing Wikipedia as of March 31, 2017. ( 18% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-09; known on 2017-04-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01.
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Fiction, Webcomic, Guilded Age – Gravedust loses his challenge. ( 60% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-04; known on 2017-03-25; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-03-12.
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Fiction, Webcomic, Erfworld – Marie captures Jillian within pages 241 to 246 inclusive. ( 40% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-04; known on 2017-03-25; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-03-25.
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Fiction, Webseries, Twig – Sy arranges an at least temporary truce within 17.11 or 17.12 ( 90% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-04; known on 2017-03-11; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-03-12.
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Kim Jong Un is Supreme Leader of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea on November 15, 2017 ( 92% confidence; 22 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by ioannes on 2017-02-27; known on 2017-11-16; judged right by PlacidPlatypus on 2017-11-16.
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SpaceX makes a successful launch on 2017-02-19. ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-02-18; known on 2017-02-20; judged right by two2thehead on 2017-02-19.
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UK – No deal between RMT and Southern Rail ending the dispute over the role of guards on trains reached by end of March 2017. ( 80% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-02-18; known on 2017-04-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-04-02.
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Fiction, Webseries, Twig – The Lambs leave without a fight during 17.6 or 17.7. ( 80% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-02-18; known on 2017-02-25; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-02-26.
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Fiction, Webcomics, Erfworld – Marie goes through a portal within pages 237 to 240 inclusive. ( 65% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-02-18; known on 2017-03-04; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-02-26.
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Politics, US – A Trump nominee for a position requiring confirmation withdraws their nomination, fails to get confirmed, or later resigns before the end of March 2017. ( 75% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-02-18; known on 2017-04-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-04-02.
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Politics – More than 100,000 protesters marching in Washington DC on Monday 23rd January ( 43% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-21; known on 2017-01-24.
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Politics – More than 10,000 protesters marching in Washington DC on Monday 23rd January ( 61% confidence; 6 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-21; known on 2017-01-24.
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Trump gives another solo press conference in February 2017 ( 21% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by ioannes on 2017-02-17; known on 2017-03-01; judged wrong by ioannes on 2017-03-02.
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Politics – President Trump rescinds at least one of Obama's executive orders relating to non-discrimination against LGBT people before end of February 2017. ( 20% confidence; 8 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-29; known on 2017-03-01; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-03-01.
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Politics – President Trump or their representative in some manner orders dual nationals with citizenship both of a nationality barred from entering and of a non-barred nationality to be permitted to enter by end of 2017-02-05. ( 62% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-29; known on 2017-02-06; judged right by playablecharacter on 2017-02-06.
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Politics – President Trump or their representative in some manner orders Green Card holders with a nationality currently barred from entry to be permitted to enter the United States by end of 2017-02-05. ( 47% confidence; 4 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-29; known on 2017-02-06; judged right by playablecharacter on 2017-02-11.
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Politics – President Trump rescinds the Executive Order suspending entry to the United States of Iranian nationals by end of 2017-02-05. ( 19% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-29; known on 2017-02-06; judged wrong by aseyfarth on 2017-02-06.
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Donald Trump is still President of the United States at the end of 2017 UTC ( 85% confidence; 30 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2017-01-29; known on 2018-01-01; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2018-01-01.
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The UK triggers Article 50. ( 70% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by technicalities on 2017-01-23; known on 2017-03-31; judged right by custom on 2017-03-29.
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SpaceX will launch a Falcon Heavy before the end of 2017. Any launch leaving the ground satisfies this, even if it fails during ascent, or carries only a test payload. ( 55% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by atomicspacemann on 2017-01-23; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2018-01-01.
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President Trump will rescind Chelsea Manning's commutation before it takes effect on May 17, 2017 ( 12% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by atomicspacemann on 2017-01-23; known on 2017-05-18; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-05-17.
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North Korea will launch (or attempt to launch) a ballistic missile before the end of 2017 ( 58% confidence; 5 wagers; 10 comments )
Created by two2thehead on 2017-01-22; known on 2018-01-15; judged right by two2thehead on 2017-02-12.
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Politics – President Trump signs an executive order reversing at least one of Obama's LGBT protection executive orders by the end of 2017-01-27. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-21; known on 2017-01-28; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-01-29.
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Politics – President Trump signs an executive order ordering research into, preparatory work for, or work on border fencing or walls before the end of 2017-01-27 ( 75% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-21; known on 2017-01-28; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-01-25.
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Fiction, Webseries, Twig – Berger tries to sacrifice the hostage in 16.10 or 16.11 ( 75% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-21; known on 2017-01-28; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-01-28.
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Spaceflight, SpaceX – Falcon Heavy launch attempt made by the end of the second quarter 2017. ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-21; known on 2017-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-07-01.
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Trump tweeting frequency drops to < 1/week in the month after his inauguration (month of January 21st to February 21st) ( 15% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by ioannes on 2017-01-19; known on 2017-03-01; judged wrong by ioannes on 2017-01-31.
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Politics – Julian Assange travels to the US consensually within 2017. ( 13% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-18; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-01-03.
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Technology – OnePlus releases a further bug fix update for the OnePlus 3 before the end of January. ( 70% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-13; known on 2017-02-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-01-21.
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Fiction, Webseries, Twig – In 16.7, the leader orders an attack on Sy. ( 85% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-13; known on 2017-01-15; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-01-14.
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Fiction, Webcomics, Guilded Age – Best says some variation on “thank you”, within pages 10-12 ( 70% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-13; known on 2017-01-21; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-01-21.
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Fiction, Webcomics, Erfworld – Marie goes to TV within pages 227-230. ( 35% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-13; known on 2017-01-28; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-01-28.
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SpaceX makes a successful launch before the end of January 2017 ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-10; known on 2017-02-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-01-14.
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Donald Trump administration names china Currency Manipulator ( 51% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-10; known on 2017-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-07-01.
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The UK Supreme Court will dismiss the Brexit appeal ( 70% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by sjy on 2016-12-27; known on 2017-01-31; judged right by sjy on 2017-01-25.
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Politics, US – Jim O'Neill announced as nominee for head of the FDA by Trump or a representative, by end of December 2016. ( 34% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-12-13; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-01-10.
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Politics, US – Rex Tillerson officially announced by Trump or representative as nominee for Secretary of State before 2016-12-17 ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-12-11; known on 2016-12-17; judged right by Liron Shapira on 2016-12-15.
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Business, UK – A deal preventing further strike action is announced by South West Trains by the end of Friday 16th December 2016. ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-12-11; known on 2016-12-17; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-01-10.
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Fiction, Webcomics, Guilded Age – Bandit says at least one sentence to Ardaic within Chapter 45, Pages 19, 20, or 21. ( 40% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-12-11; known on 2016-12-18; judged right by jbeshir on 2016-12-12.
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Fiction, Webseries, Twig – Sy meets with Fray during 15.13 or 15.14 ( 20% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-12-11; known on 2016-12-18; judged right by jbeshir on 2016-12-13.
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Fiction, Webcomics, Erfworld – Wanda gets the Arkenpliers back, in pages 219, 220, 221, or 222. ( 30% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-12-11; known on 2016-12-31; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-01-10.
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Fiction, Webseries, Twig – In 15.3, we get confirmation that the chief members of the Rank have cooperated. ( 80% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-11-14; known on 2016-11-16; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2016-11-15.
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Politics, India – It is announced before 2016-12-01 that banks will accept old 500 and 1000 rupee notes, for exchange or for any other purpose, beyond 2016-12-30, either indefinitely or up to an extended deadline. ( 24% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-11-14; known on 2016-12-01; judged wrong by michael149 on 2016-12-02.
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Amazon removes at least one listing of the US Army Improvised Munitions Handbook from sale, on or before 2016-11-20 ( 39% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-11-14; known on 2016-11-21; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2016-12-11.
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Waterstones removes the US Army Improvised Munitions Handbook from sale, on or before 2016-11-20 ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-11-14; known on 2016-11-21; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2016-12-11.
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Fiction, Webcomics, Erfworld – Jillian confirmed to be attacking Gobwin Knob with no visible presence of Charlescomm within pages 212 or 213. ( 70% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-11-14; known on 2016-11-20; judged right by jbeshir on 2016-11-19.
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Fiction, Webseries, RWBY – Yang puts on the prosthetic during Volume 4, Episode 4. ( 70% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-11-08; known on 2016-11-20; judged right by jbeshir on 2016-11-21.
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Politics – Conditional on their loss, Donald Trump concedes within 24 hours of the final count being announced, without legal challenge of the results. ( 56% confidence; 8 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-10-29; known on 2016-11-12.
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The electors in the Electoral College will give both Trump and Pence >= 270 votes ( 93% confidence; 10 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2016-11-11; known on 2016-12-20; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2016-12-19.
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President Trump jailed ( 1% confidence; 23 wagers; 10 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-09; known on 2017-11-09; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2017-11-09.
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Fiction, Webseries, Twig – 15.2 is from the Lambs' perspective. ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-11-08; known on 2016-11-13; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2016-11-14.
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Personal – In my multiplayer game of Alpha Centauri with the other Rattumblrites, I (jbeshir) win. ( 25% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-11-08; known on 2016-11-27; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2016-11-21.
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SpaceX launches (defined as lifting off the ground at a scheduled launch time, otherwise no success requirement) again before the end of 2016. ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-11-08; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2016-12-31.
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Fiction,Webcomics, Erfworld – Caesar agrees to at least not interfere in an attempt to turn Parson, within pages 210 or 211. ( 60% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-11-08; known on 2016-11-12; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2016-11-12.
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Fiction, Webcomics, Strong Female Protagonist – Feral expresses anger towards Alison within pages 94 or 95. ( 10% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-10-29; known on 2016-11-05; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2016-11-08.
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Fiction,Webcomics, Erfworld – Caesar agrees to at least not interfere in an attempt to turn Parson, within pages 208 or 209. ( 40% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-10-29; known on 2016-11-05; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2016-11-08.
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UK Government agrees to take in more migrant children than previously planned before start of 2016-11-06. ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-10-29; known on 2016-11-06; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2016-11-08.
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Fiction, Web Serial, Twig – Mauer is told about the Falconer's origin during 14.18 or 14.19 ( 20% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-10-29; known on 2016-11-06; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2016-11-08.
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Bob Dylan acknowledges his Nobel Prize in Literature in some fashion before the start of 2016-10-30 ( 8% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-10-23; known on 2016-10-30; judged right by jbeshir on 2016-10-29.
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Fiction, Web Serial, Twig – Falconer's bird is incapacitated or dies during 14.15 or 14.16 ( 50% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-10-23; known on 2016-10-30; judged right by jbeshir on 2016-10-29.
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Fiction, Webcomics, Guilded Age – Best apologises or expresses regret to someone for something within pages 29-31. ( 28% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-10-23; known on 2016-10-29; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2016-10-29.
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Fiction, Webcomics, Strong Female Protagonist – Feral expresses anger towards Alison within pages 92 or 93. ( 30% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-10-23; known on 2016-10-29; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2016-10-29.
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Fiction,Webcomics, Erfworld – Caesar agrees to at least not interfere in an attempt to turn Parson, within pages 206 or 207. ( 30% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2016-10-23; known on 2016-10-29; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2016-10-29.
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California will vote “yes” on Proposition 64 in the 2016 elections, legalizing marijuana. ( 87% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jesselevine on 2016-06-29; known on 2016-11-10; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-09.
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By the end of 2015, Madplatypus will self-identify as one of the following: Buddhist, fascist, or anti-natalist. ( 22% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Madplatypus on 2015-09-10; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Madplatypus on 2016-01-01.
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Any of Denmark, Finland, Germany, Luxembourg, Norway or Sweden defaults its sovereign debt in 2015. ( 0% confidence; 21 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by kuudes on 2015-09-10; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2016-01-01.
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Luxembourg defaults its sovereign debt in 2015. ( 0% confidence; 14 wagers )
Created by kuudes on 2015-09-10; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2016-01-01.
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Germany defaults its sovereign debt in 2015. ( 0% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by kuudes on 2015-09-10; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2016-01-01.
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Finland defaults its sovereign debt in 2015. ( 0% confidence; 19 wagers )
Created by kuudes on 2015-09-10; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2016-01-01.
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Denmark defaults its sovereign debt in 2015. ( 0% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by kuudes on 2015-09-10; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2016-01-01.
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Norway defaults its sovereign debt in 2015. ( 0% confidence; 22 wagers )
Created by kuudes on 2015-09-10; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2016-01-01.
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Sweden defaults its sovereign debt in 2015. ( 0% confidence; 21 wagers )
Created by kuudes on 2015-09-10; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2016-01-01.
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Kurdistan will be a UN member by 2018. ( 30% confidence; 11 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Madplatypus on 2015-07-12; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-01-01.
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Greece will cease using the Euro as its currency. ( 22% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by quanticle on 2015-07-12; known on 2015-07-31; judged wrong by quanticle on 2015-07-31.