Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Displaying all predictions made by Turtleread. Filter by:
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Obama will win the election (2012), and the GOP will become a party of lesser influence until 2024, when an independent and Republican will for a short time storm the country. ( 34% confidence; 3 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Turtleread on 2012-04-07; known on 2025-01-01.
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During the election of 2024 for President, both Independents and Republicans (the Republicans had been in decline) will put up vigorous campaigns against the Democrat. ( 85% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by Turtleread on 2012-11-05; known on 2023-04-21.
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In at least one state Obama wins in 2012, Gary Johnson will win a number of votes greater than the margin by which Obama defeats Romney in that state. ( 25% confidence; 7 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-10-30; known on 2012-12-01; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-11-27.
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Obama will be re-elected on the 2012 presidential election. ( 90% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by gusl on 2012-10-26; known on 2012-11-15; judged right by RandomThinker on 2012-11-07.
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Mitt Romney will win the popular vote in the 2012 US election ( 37% confidence; 14 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-10-26; known on 2012-11-10; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-11-08.