Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
Displaying all predictions made by synkarius. Filter by:
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Politics – Iran strikes, and does not deny striking, a US military base between 2020-01-12 and 2020-02-02 ( 7% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2020-01-11; known on 2020-02-03; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2020-02-03.
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Jeopardy will still be on the air in 2025. ( 83% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by skateboard34 on 2019-12-12; known on 2025-01-01.
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Bitcoin's price will be above $10,000 on May 1, 2020 (at midnight). ( 27% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by krazemon on 2019-10-20; known on 2020-05-01; judged wrong by krazemon on 2020-05-01.
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[US politics] Andrew Yang to participate in the fifth Democratic primary debate (November 2019) ( 57% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-08-26; known on 2019-11-21; judged right by Cato on 2019-11-21.
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[2020 Economics Nobel Prize] At least one winner to be Japanese ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-27; known on 2020-10-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-11-02.
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US Economy: Bureau of Economic Analysis to have announced that US quarter-on-quarter GDP growth was negative for any quarter between 2019 Q1 and 2020 Q3. ( 41% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-10-22; judged right by Cato on 2020-11-02.
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The world gross product of 2099 will not be less than the world gross product of 2020. ( 89% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by pranomostro on 2019-08-29; known on 2100-01-01.
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The average age of death for humans in 2099 is not going to be lower than 70 years. ( 78% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by pranomostro on 2019-08-29; known on 2100-01-01.
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Humanity is not going to go extinct before 2200 because of anthropogenic climate change. ( 97% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by pranomostro on 2019-08-29; known on 2200-01-01.
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At least one war breaks out between countries due to (perceived) inaction / exacerbation of climate change before 2030 ( 9% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by predoindk on 2019-08-25; known on 2030-12-31.
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[Baseball] The New York Mets will win the World Series in 2019 ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by RedScharlach on 2019-02-15; known on 2019-10-30; judged wrong by rei5025 on 2019-11-11.