Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11751 | 16422 | 16888 | 17550 | 31268 | 8024 | 101903 |
Judged Predictions
-
I will finish at least one reading before sun-rise ( 80% confidence )
Created by dumun on 2011-03-14; known on 2011-03-15; judged right by dumun on 2011-03-14.
-
Three student will miss the yoga class ( 75% confidence )
Created by wael on 2011-03-09; known on 2011-03-12; judged wrong by wael on 2011-03-14.
-
Less than 7 students will attend the RUBY lesson today. ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by puya on 2011-03-14; known on 2011-03-14; judged right by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-14.
-
I won't see my flatmate more than once this week. ( 70% confidence )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-09; known on 2011-03-14; judged right by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-14.
-
Nam will oversleep tomorrow and come to uni late… ( 70% confidence )
Created by alvinTng on 2011-03-13; known on 2011-03-14; judged right by alvinTng on 2011-03-14.
-
Our Qantas flight to Adelaide will depart Sydney on time tomorrow. ( 83% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-10; known on 2011-03-12; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-03-13.
-
Someone will make me drink at least 3 glass at the birthday party later..! ( 60% confidence )
Created by alvinTng on 2011-03-12; known on 2011-03-13; judged right by alvinTng on 2011-03-13.
-
I will eat "pho' " (vietnamese beef noodle soup) at least one in this week! I miss pho' ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-03-09; known on 2011-03-12; judged right by nam2001 on 2011-03-12.
-
I'll be in dreamland by 12am tonight… Tired… Zzz… ( 85% confidence )
Created by alvinTng on 2011-03-11; known on 2011-03-11; judged right by alvinTng on 2011-03-12.
-
I will make it to class on time on saturday. ( 30% confidence )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-11; known on 2011-03-12; judged right by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-11.
-
Ben will be late for the yoga class. ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Ye on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.
-
I will be right time for yoga class! ( 80% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by nam2001 on 2011-03-11.
-
I will wake up early tomorrow, and go to library before 10 ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-03-10; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by nam2001 on 2011-03-11.
-
6 of students from Ben's class will attend yoga class again ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by wael on 2011-03-11; known on 2011-03-13; judged wrong by wael on 2011-03-31.
-
I will remember to have lunch before 2pm for the next three days. ( 65% confidence )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged right by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.
-
less than 12 students will attend my class today ( 75% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-10; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.
-
6 of students from Ben's class will attend yoga class again ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by wael on 2011-03-11; known on 2011-03-13; judged wrong by wael on 2011-03-31.
-
I'll be massive drunk tmr night. ( 80% confidence )
Created by sailoryoon on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-10; judged wrong by sailoryoon on 2011-03-10.
-
I'll be massive drunk tmr night. ( 80% confidence )
Created by sailoryoon on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-10; judged wrong by sailoryoon on 2011-03-10.
-
Milan will beat Spurs on Wednesday. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-10; judged wrong by dumun on 2011-03-10.
-
Milan will beat Spurs on Wednesday. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-10; judged wrong by dumun on 2011-03-10.
-
Milan will beat Spurs on Wednesday. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-10; judged wrong by dumun on 2011-03-10.
-
I'll finish a model before I sleep… ( 90% confidence )
Created by alvinTng on 2011-03-09; known on 2011-03-09; judged right by alvinTng on 2011-03-09.
-
Milan will beat Spurs on Wednesday. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-10; judged wrong by dumun on 2011-03-10.
-
Ben will be late for the yoga class. ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Ye on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.
-
Ben will be late for the yoga class. ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Ye on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.
-
I will finish reading at least 3 chaters and papers by friday. ( 56% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged right by wael on 2011-03-09.
-
Ben will be late for the yoga class. ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Ye on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.
-
Ben will be late for the yoga class. ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Ye on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.
-
Ben will be late for the yoga class. ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Ye on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.
-
I will fall asleep reading World War Z tonight due to exhaustion! ( 95% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-08; judged right by DavidPercival on 2011-03-08.
-
Lee did not call Bethany tonight. ( 70% confidence )
Created by maxdemian on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-08; judged right by maxdemian on 2011-03-08.
-
Kelcey will text me tomorrow about something. ( 50% confidence )
Created by maxdemian on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-08; judged right by maxdemian on 2011-03-08.
-
Ben will be late for the yoga class. ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Ye on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.
-
Our class will end early today… ( 10% confidence )
Created by alvinTng on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-08; judged right by alvinTng on 2011-03-08.
-
Someone will be sick during or after the field trip on the beach. The trip will be very hard for contemporary well protected people to undergo difficult circumstance. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Eun on 2011-03-01; known on 2011-03-08; judged right by Eunseo on 2011-03-08.
-
My house mate declared that she has quited smoking from today. However, she will restart smoking in a week. ( 81% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-14; judged right by Eunseo on 2011-03-08.
-
Every student will come to join yoga class.20% of them will join another yoga class individually. ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by dumun on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-31; judged wrong by dumun on 2011-03-31.
-
I will finish reading the drowned world and at least 4 papers before class by Tuesday ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Jessica Hartany on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-08; judged wrong by Jessica Hartany on 2011-03-08.
-
ben will not make it back to comp lab by 4pm. ( 83% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Jessica Hartany on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-08; judged right by Jessica Hartany on 2011-03-08.
-
Every student will come to join yoga class.20% of them will join another yoga class individually. ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by dumun on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-31; judged wrong by dumun on 2011-03-31.
-
Milan will beat Spurs on Wednesday. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-10; judged wrong by dumun on 2011-03-10.
-
possible shower this weekend. ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Jessica Hartany on 2011-03-03; known on 2011-03-05; judged right by Jessica Hartany on 2011-03-07.
-
I will finish reading the drowned world & island, and will read at least 2 of the papers by tuesday ( 46% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Jessica Hartany on 2011-03-03; known on 2011-03-07; judged wrong by Jessica Hartany on 2011-03-07.
-
I will read at least one chapter of a book tonight. ( 80% confidence )
Created by maxdemian on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-07; judged right by maxdemian on 2011-03-07.
-
“About 18 months from now, 80 percent of newspapers will be gone.” —Michael Wolff ( 4% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by gwern on 2010-08-05; known on 2011-05-01; judged unknown by PseudonymousUser on 2011-03-07.
-
'1000 dollars per Bitcoin by the end of the year.' —Bruce Wagner ( 4% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by gwern on 2011-02-17; known on 2012-01-01; judged unknown by PseudonymousUser on 2011-03-07.
-
The SIU Saluki men's basketball team will win 15 or more games in the 2010 – 2011 regular season, including the MVC tournament. ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by dakyne on 2010-10-07; known on 2011-03-07; judged wrong by dakyne on 2011-03-07.
-
'1000 dollars per Bitcoin by the end of the year.' —Bruce Wagner ( 4% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by gwern on 2011-02-17; known on 2012-01-01; judged unknown by PseudonymousUser on 2011-03-07.
-
“About 18 months from now, 80 percent of newspapers will be gone.” —Michael Wolff ( 4% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by gwern on 2010-08-05; known on 2011-05-01; judged unknown by PseudonymousUser on 2011-03-07.