“Iran to be removed from US State Dept list of State Sponsors of Terrorism on/before 31 Dec 2013” —Intrade
Created by gwern on 2011-08-14; known on 2013-12-31; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2013-12-31.
- gwern estimated 5% on 2011-08-14
- JoshuaZ estimated 8% on 2011-08-15
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction wrong on 2013-12-31.
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