Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Displaying all predictions made by marquisdetrade. Filter by:
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S&P will not go above 900 before May 18 ( 90% confidence )
Created by marquisdetrade on 2009-04-30; known on 2009-05-18.
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There will be a market crash of a combined magnitude (perhaps over a few days) of around 10%. ( 90% confidence )
Created by marquisdetrade on 2009-04-30; known on 2009-06-30; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-07-29.