Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
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Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Displaying all predictions made by amitpamin. Filter by:
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I will start a PhD program within the next five years. ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by amitpamin on 2012-10-10; known on 2017-10-09.
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There will be superintelligence by 2033. — Nick Bostrom ( 28% confidence; 7 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by Pablo on 2012-10-06; known on 2034-01-01.
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Homo sapiens will be near or fully extinct by 2100. ( 21% confidence; 22 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Rain on 2009-11-11; known on 2100-01-01.