Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Displaying all predictions made by dvolk. Filter by:
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I will participate in and finish NaNoWriMo 2015 ( 10% confidence )
Created by dvolk on 2014-11-09; known on 2015-12-01.
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At least one country will make producing animal meat products within its borders illegal by 2075 ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by dvolk on 2015-01-02; known on 2075-01-01.
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Zero humans will have been in orbit around another planet by 2050 ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by dvolk on 2014-12-17; known on 2050-01-01.
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Zero humans will set foot on Mars before 2100 ( 34% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by dvolk on 2014-12-17; known on 2100-01-01.
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Britain will still be part of the EU in 2016 ( 93% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-01; known on 2016-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2016-01-16.
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There will be a manned mission to Mars by 2020 ( 30% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-29; known on 2020-01-16; judged wrong by dvolk on 2020-01-10.
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There will be a manned mission to Mars by 2025 ( 34% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-29; known on 2025-01-16.