PredictionBook transitioning to read-only mode at the end of 2023 ( read more ).

I write Trump post-mortem piece by end of week.

Created by ioannes on 2016-05-09; known on 2016-05-16; judged right by ioannes on 2016-05-16.

  • ioannes estimated 70% on 2016-05-09
  • ioannes   judged this prediction right on 2016-05-16.

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