PredictionBook transitioning to read-only mode at the end of 2023 ( read more ).

GoodSearch (http://goodsearch.com/) will continue to operate one year from today.

Created by Grognor on 2012-01-14; known on 2013-01-14; judged right by Grognor on 2013-01-14.

  • Grognor estimated 90% on 2012-01-14
  • gwern estimated 80% on 2012-01-15
  • spqr0a1 estimated 90% on 2012-01-17
  • Tuxedage estimated 95% on 2013-01-05
  • Grognor   judged this prediction right on 2013-01-14.
  • Grognor said “Underconfidence, I dare proclaim. From all of us.on 2013-01-14

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction