katla volcano will not erupt in 2011
Created by scav on 2011-01-05; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2011-12-31.
- scav estimated 80% on 2011-01-05
- gwern estimated 95% on 2011-01-05
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2011-12-31.
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