Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 60% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 67% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 5 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 23 |
Displaying all predictions made by komponisto. Filter by:
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Italian Supreme Court in Rome will confirm convictions of Amanda Knox and Raffaele Sollecito on charge of killing Meredith Kercher. ( 55% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by komponisto on 2015-03-25; known on 2015-03-26; judged wrong by komponisto on 2015-03-28.
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Italian Supreme Court in Rome will confirm conviction of Amanda Knox on charge of calumny against Patrick Lumumba. ( 51% confidence )
Created by komponisto on 2013-03-25; known on 2013-03-26.
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Italian Supreme Court in Rome will confirm acquittal of Amanda Knox and Raffaele Sollecito on charge of killing Meredith Kercher. ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by komponisto on 2013-03-25; known on 2013-03-26; judged wrong by komponisto on 2013-03-26.
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Appeals court in Perugia will acquit Amanda Knox and Raffaele Sollecito of the murder of Meredith Kercher. ( 47% confidence; 11 wagers; 12 comments )
Created by komponisto on 2010-09-29; known on 2011-10-04; judged right by gwern on 2011-10-03.
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Appeals court in Perugia will not increase the sentences of Knox and Sollecito. ( 80% confidence; 4 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by komponisto on 2010-09-29; known on 2011-11-01; judged right by gwern on 2011-10-03.
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No military draft in the United States before 2020. ( 90% confidence; 33 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by komponisto on 2009-10-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2020-01-01.