Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 63% | 53% | 70% | 70% | 96% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 8 | 19 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 0 | 80 |
Displaying all predictions made by ZeitPolizei. Filter by:
-
By end of 2018 I will conclude (by object level reasoning), that AI safety is most important cause area ( 63% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2019-01-01.
-
German Humanist Party will get at least one seat in the European Parliament 2019 ( 11% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2018-02-04; known on 2019-05-27; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2019-05-27.
-
Luna (dating on blockchain) is not a scam. ( 94% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by leo_grint on 2018-01-31; known on 2018-06-30; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2018-09-02.
-
… says she is as open with me, as she is with most other people. ( 45% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-26.
-
we will get a gym slot (at least 3 times before march) ( 32% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2018-01-16; judged right by ZeitPolizei on 2018-01-05.
-
snowman will still be identifiable next year ( 38% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2018-01-03.
-
c has a crafts group ( 18% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-19; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-14.
-
et shows mind change ( 18% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-05; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
Sc will be blegh ( 8% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2018-02-05; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2018-02-05.
-
et po >= 15 ka before next year ( 12% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2018-01-03.
-
La at least 2 prints ( 91% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-05; judged right by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
a thinks astro legit ( 4% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-05; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
print m ( 19% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-05; judged right by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
print a ( 68% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-05; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
print n ( 30% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-05; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
print lu ( 9% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-05; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
print j/a 2 ( 7% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-05; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
print j/a ( 76% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-05; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
print la ( 93% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-05; judged right by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
party j ( 12% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-05; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
party c ( 68% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-05; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
party A ( 64% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-05; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
party l ( 91% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-05; judged right by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
get mail from pa ( 57% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-05; judged right by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
et gives example of changing mind ( 18% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05; known on 2017-12-05; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
>50% of the world population has to scan their eye(/iris) at least once per day ( 3% confidence; 19 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-10-27; known on 2020-08-19; judged wrong by NickN on 2020-08-20.
-
finish bot by friday 22h ( 45% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2015-10-07; known on 2015-10-09; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2015-10-23.
-
I will not use any cord on the hiking trip. ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2015-08-06; known on 2015-08-22; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2015-08-18.
-
Finish Superintelligence today. ( 98% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2015-08-06; known on 2015-08-07; judged right by ZeitPolizei on 2015-08-06.
-
WIndows 10 installation will succeed on next try. ( 35% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2015-08-06; known on 2015-08-07; judged right by ZeitPolizei on 2015-08-06.
-
will meet L when I'm back ( 65% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2015-08-06; known on 2015-09-01; judged right by ZeitPolizei on 2015-10-07.
-
By 2040, people will be able to eat as much as they'd like without getting fat ( 26% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by InquilineKea on 2015-08-04; known on 2041-01-01.
-
Greater than 70% of cars bought in 2020 will be electric ( 13% confidence; 9 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by espore on 2015-08-02; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by btrettel on 2020-07-05.
-
At least 25% of all total meals in the world will be prepared by robot chefs by 2025 ( 15% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by InquilineKea on 2015-08-02; known on 2026-01-01.
-
Strong AI to arise out of IBM ( 11% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-28; known on 2099-01-01.
-
L will pass AuD ( 70% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2015-07-21; known on 2015-08-21; judged right by ZeitPolizei on 2015-10-23.
-
C will get together with L by next new year. ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2015-07-20; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2017-12-05.
-
V will visit the TNS lecture. ( 5% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2015-07-20; known on 2015-10-25; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2015-10-25.
-
Clean up data at LIN next monday ( 90% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2015-07-16; known on 2015-07-21; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2015-07-20.
-
Finished and sent off BA by next Monday. ( 70% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2015-07-16; known on 2015-07-20; judged wrong by ZeitPolizei on 2015-07-20.
-
2.0 or better in ComInG ( 80% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2015-07-16; known on 2015-08-16; judged right by ZeitPolizei on 2015-07-23.
-
1.0 in ComInG ( 50% confidence )
Created by ZeitPolizei on 2015-07-16; known on 2015-08-16; judged right by ZeitPolizei on 2015-07-23.
-
Jon Snow will be alive in some shape or form during Season 6 of Game of Thrones (excluding flashbacks and dream sequences) ( 73% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by BiasedCalibration on 2015-07-11; known on 2016-06-30; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2016-05-02.
-
At least 10 percent of people in the U.S. to be vegetarian (or in-vitro-ist) in 2030 ( 28% confidence; 13 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2031-01-01.