Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
Displaying all predictions made by slackson. Filter by:
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HP MoR: Sirius is not in Azkaban, and his replacement is Fudge ( 17% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by gwern on 2014-03-10; known on 2015-03-10; judged wrong by gwern on 2015-03-10.
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HP MoR: Harry's father's rock is actually the Resurrection Stone. ( 25% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by booradleytron on 2014-03-09; known on 2014-09-16; judged wrong by Osuniev on 2014-08-02.
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HP MoR: That Bellatrix is Black not Lestrange will be important. ( 31% confidence; 6 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by booradleytron on 2014-03-06; known on 2014-10-16; judged wrong by Osuniev on 2015-03-28.
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HP MoR: Horcrux hijinks made Amycus Carrow go slightly Voldemorty ( 24% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by solipsist on 2014-03-06; known on 2015-12-31; judged wrong by solipsist on 2015-03-14.
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It was between 10am and 12pm when I woke up this morning ( 80% confidence )
Created by slackson on 2014-03-04; known on 2014-03-04; judged right by slackson on 2014-03-04.
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Eliezer will publish at least one HPMOR chapter this month. ( 7% confidence; 11 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by ygert on 2014-03-01; known on 2014-04-01; judged wrong by on 2014-04-01.
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HP MoR: ch81: Harry's solution will be invoking Lucius's debt to whomever killed his supposed Imperiuser ( 35% confidence; 21 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by gwern on 2012-03-23; known on 2012-03-28; judged right by Grognor on 2012-03-28.