Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11751 | 16422 | 16888 | 17550 | 31268 | 8024 | 101903 |
Judged Predictions
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Söderling will beat Nadal in the French Open quarter final ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-31; known on 2011-06-01; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-06-01.
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Vic Steamers will win Monday night's touch footy game. ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Jessica Hartany on 2011-05-29; known on 2011-05-30; judged wrong by Jessica Hartany on 2011-06-01.
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My laptop will get fixed by Wednesday. ( 63% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Jessica Hartany on 2011-05-29; known on 2011-06-01; judged wrong by Jessica Hartany on 2011-06-01.
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Buffy the Vampire Slayer will make it to the Big Screen ( 57% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-01; known on 2011-06-01; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2011-06-01.
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It will rain all day today ( 60% confidence )
Created by Ye on 2011-05-29; known on 2011-05-30; judged right by Ye on 2011-05-31.
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The testing of fire alarm will go off again tomorrow morning. ( 40% confidence )
Created by alvinTng on 2011-05-27; known on 2011-05-28; judged right by alvinTng on 2011-05-30.
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I will finish my time line infographic of floating city formation by tommorrow. ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-05-29; known on 2011-05-30; judged right by Eunseo on 2011-05-30.
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We will have submitted registration documents for the competition by 6pm on Monday ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-29; known on 2011-05-30; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-30.
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The USA or Russia will be involved in my hypothetical nuclear threat scenario for my design studio. ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-29; known on 2011-05-29; judged right by DavidPercival on 2011-05-29.
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Vettel will win the Monaco Grand Prix. ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Ye on 2011-05-29; known on 2011-05-29; judged right by Ye on 2011-05-29.
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Barcelona will win the champions league final ( 70% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by puya on 2011-05-18; known on 2011-05-29; judged right by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-29.
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I will return all the books from library today. ( 90% confidence )
Created by Ye on 2011-05-29; known on 2011-05-29; judged right by Ye on 2011-05-29.
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We will have submitted registration documents for the competition by 6pm on Friday. ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-25; known on 2011-05-27; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-29.
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MU will get CL this year ( 33% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-04-21; known on 2011-05-21; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-29.
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Hernández will score the first goal in the CL final ( 15% confidence )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-28; known on 2011-05-29; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-29.
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Messi will not get any goal tonight! ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by minhduc on 2011-05-28; known on 2011-05-28; judged wrong by minhduc on 2011-05-29.
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After the first half, the result of the match between Manchester and Barcelona will be a draw. ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by minhduc on 2011-05-28; known on 2011-05-28; judged right by minhduc on 2011-05-29.
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My credit card wil be one of the ones blocked by Westpac after the security breach! ( 20% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-05-27; known on 2011-05-28; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-05-28.
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Google will lose their soul. We'll love them less in the coming years. ( 77% confidence; 5 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by Lina on 2009-05-28; known on 2011-05-27; judged wrong by Lina on 2011-05-27.
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5 or fewer students will present and cover all 4 requirements. ( 93% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-25; known on 2011-05-27; judged right by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-27.
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At 3pm this Friday there will be 5 or fewer projects pinned up. ( 80% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-25; known on 2011-05-27; judged right by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-27.
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MoR update within a week ( 31% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by yurifury on 2011-05-19; known on 2011-05-26; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2011-05-26.
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The unidentified object in Stockholms archipelago was a submarine ( 30% confidence; 5 comments )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-08; known on 2011-07-08; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-26.
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After Easter holiday, the temperature will be down more than 5 degrees. ( 29% confidence )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-04-20; known on 2011-04-27; judged wrong by Eunseo on 2011-05-26.
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The note I bought online will arrive by friday. ( 40% confidence )
Created by alvinTng on 2011-05-15; known on 2011-05-20; judged wrong by alvinTng on 2011-05-25.
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Barcelona will win the champions league final ( 70% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by puya on 2011-05-18; known on 2011-05-29; judged right by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-29.
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Barcelona will win the champions league final ( 70% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by puya on 2011-05-18; known on 2011-05-29; judged right by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-29.
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No more than 5 of my students will meet today's pin up deadline ( 70% confidence )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-24; known on 2011-05-24; judged right by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-24.
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I will go to yoga class at least 8 times. ( 60% confidence )
Created by Ye on 2011-03-16; known on 2011-05-16; judged wrong by Ye on 2011-05-22.
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I will go to camping in Blue mountains on Sunday. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Ye on 2011-03-16; known on 2011-03-20; judged wrong by Ye on 2011-05-22.
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Volcano will accur on Baekdu Mountain within 2mounths. ( 34% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-03-18; known on 2011-05-18; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-05-22.
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“…in the Pacific Rim at around the 6 p.m. local time hour, in each time zone, there will be a great earthquake, such as has never been in the history of the Earth.” —Haubert/Brown ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by gwern on 2011-05-08; known on 2011-05-22; judged wrong by Nic_Smith on 2011-05-22.
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There will be no Earthquake on May 21st ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by alvinTng on 2011-05-20; known on 2011-05-21; judged wrong by jayjay664@hotmail.com on 2011-05-21.
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My MRI scan on Friday will cost no more than $290 ( 89% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-05-16; known on 2011-05-21; judged right by DavidPercival on 2011-05-21.
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Porto will win Braga tonight. ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by minhduc on 2011-05-18; known on 2011-05-19; judged right by minhduc on 2011-05-20.
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I will loose weight 2kg before graduation ceremony ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by sailoryoon on 2011-05-11; known on 2011-05-18; judged wrong by sailoryoon on 2011-05-19.
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I'll be the earliest for my meeting tomorrow morning. ( 30% confidence )
Created by alvinTng on 2011-05-15; known on 2011-05-15; judged right by alvinTng on 2011-05-18.
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'We are 100% certain that governments will start banning bitcoins in the next 12 to 18 months.' —Jason Calacanis ( 34% confidence; 18 wagers; 13 comments )
Created by gwern on 2011-05-16; known on 2012-11-15; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-11-15.
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'We are 100% certain that governments will start banning bitcoins in the next 12 to 18 months.' —Jason Calacanis ( 34% confidence; 18 wagers; 13 comments )
Created by gwern on 2011-05-16; known on 2012-11-15; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-11-15.
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I will finish The City assignment by Tuesday ( 60% confidence )
Created by minhduc on 2011-05-15; known on 2011-05-17; judged wrong by minhduc on 2011-05-17.
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I will finish The City assignment by Tuesday ( 60% confidence )
Created by minhduc on 2011-05-15; known on 2011-05-17; judged wrong by minhduc on 2011-05-17.
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I will finish project management assignment by Monday night. ( 100% confidence )
Created by sailoryoon on 2011-05-11; known on 2011-05-16; judged right by sailoryoon on 2011-05-16.
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Liverpool will beat Tottenham in Anfield tonight ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by minhduc on 2011-05-15; known on 2011-05-15; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-16.
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Sweden will beat Finland in the World Cup final tonight ( 65% confidence )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-15; known on 2011-05-16; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-16.
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MM Lee's FB fan counts will still surpass Nicole Seah's 1 week after the sg election. ( 100% confidence )
Created by alvinTng on 2011-05-05; known on 2011-05-14; judged right by alvinTng on 2011-05-15.
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There will 2 constituencies won by the opposition parties in the coming S'pore election. ( 70% confidence )
Created by alvinTng on 2011-04-16; known on 2011-05-16; judged wrong by alvinTng on 2011-05-15.
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CC Strikers will win their game tomorrow without me playing. ( 50% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-05-13; known on 2011-05-15; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-05-15.
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Barcelona will win the 2010-2011 La Liga title . ( 100% confidence )
Created by minhduc on 2011-05-01; known on 2011-06-01; judged right by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-15.
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Chelsea will get the Premier League title this season. ( 35% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by minhduc on 2011-05-07; known on 2011-05-28; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-15.
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Eric Saade will win Eurovision Song Contest 2011 ( 2% confidence )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-04-26; known on 2011-05-15; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-15.