Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
Displaying all predictions made by Mo_Money_2make. Filter by:
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Atlanta Braves will make it to the NLCS. ( 20% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Mo_Money_2make on 2010-08-23; known on 2010-11-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-11-07.
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ARNA's stock price will be over $30 on Jan 15, 2011 ( 23% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Mo_Money_2make on 2010-08-23; known on 2011-01-16; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-01-16.
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MNKD's stock price will be over $20 by Jan 15, 2011 ( 28% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Mo_Money_2make on 2010-08-23; known on 2011-01-16; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-01-16.
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MNKD will sign a partner for AFREZZA by November 1, 2010 ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Mo_Money_2make on 2010-08-23; known on 2010-11-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-11-01.
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ARNA will be approved by the FDA on October 22, 2010 ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Mo_Money_2make on 2010-08-23; known on 2010-10-23; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-10-24.
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ARNA will have a Advisory Committee vote with at least 75% members voting for approval ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Mo_Money_2make on 2010-08-23; known on 2010-09-17; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-09-17.