Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Displaying all predictions made by Toadface. Filter by:
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China will attempt an invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025. ( 20% confidence; 18 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by najdorf on 2021-04-09; known on 2025-12-31.
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More people will get born in Russia in year 2040 than in Russia in year 2037 ( 50% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by kuudes on 2021-10-27; known on 2045-01-01.
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COVID – A single strain that circumvents immunity from earlier infections causes more than 10M infections globally by end of 2021. ( 26% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2021-03-07; known on 2022-01-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2023-01-03.
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[The next interstellar object will be discovered] before 2024 ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-20; known on 2031-01-01.
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[The next interstellar object will be discovered] before 2023 ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-20; known on 2031-01-01.
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[The next interstellar object will be discovered] before 2022 ( 17% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-20; known on 2031-01-01.
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China NOT to conduct overt military action against Taiwan before 2026 ( 62% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by niconiconi on 2020-10-16; known on 2026-01-01.