Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
Displaying all predictions made by korakos. Filter by:
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I will meditate at least 180 hours total in 2021. ( 70% confidence )
Created by korakos on 2020-11-29; known on 2022-01-01; judged wrong by korakos on 2022-01-04.
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Created by korakos on 2020-11-29; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by korakos on 2021-01-01.
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Péter Nádas will win a Nobel Literature prize before 2030. ( 10% confidence )
Created by korakos on 2020-11-28; known on 2030-01-01.
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My grades in this semester will be 5-s (equivalents of A), with at most two exceptions, ( 80% confidence )
Created by korakos on 2020-11-28; known on 2021-02-10; judged wrong by korakos on 2021-01-21.
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Hungarian governing party Fidesz will lose the 2022 general election or lose its governing power before that election. ( 12% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by korakos on 2020-11-08; known on 2023-01-01; judged wrong by account on 2023-01-16.
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If Trump looses the electoral college votes, he will give up his post normally in January ( 91% confidence; 5 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by Liging on 2020-11-03; known on 2021-02-01; judged right by PlacidPlatypus on 2021-02-01.
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Donald Trump will be elected president in the 2020 presidential elections. ( 50% confidence; 18 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by korakos on 2020-04-30; known on 2020-11-05; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2020-11-07.
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Kim Jong Un confirmed dead or vegetative state by end of June 2020 ( 23% confidence; 19 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-04-26; known on 2020-06-30; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2022-01-04.