GJP: #1038 Will Hamad bin Isa al-Khalifa remain King of Bahrain through 31 January 2012?
Created by gwern on 2011-11-08; known on 2012-02-01; judged right by faws on 2012-02-01.
- gwern estimated 70% on 2011-11-08
- gwern said “sounds like the protesters are making even less progress than in syria” on 2011-11-08
- gwern made the prediction on 2011-12-14
- _W_ estimated 80% on 2012-01-25
- chemotaxis101 estimated 90% on 2012-01-28
- faws judged this prediction right on 2012-02-01.
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