Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
Displaying all predictions made by prophetofprofit. Filter by:
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[IPO] Cloudflare IPO in 2019 ( 64% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-05; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2019-10-12.
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Yeezy x Rick and Morty sneaker collaboration in the next 3 years ( 30% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by prophetofprofit on 2019-05-17; known on 2022-05-17; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2022-05-17.
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Air Jordan 1 UNC Off-White X Nike collaboration sneakers will increase in value to at least $1000 in the next 9 months ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by prophetofprofit on 2019-03-07; known on 2019-12-07.
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Number of human truck drivers in the US to fall by 50% by 2024 EOY ( 18% confidence; 8 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-07; known on 2025-01-01.
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Tempur Sealy International Inc stock will fall 15% below the current price of 55.39 in the next six months and remain (at least) below 5% of the current price at the end of the six months ( 65% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by prophetofprofit on 2018-09-01; known on 2019-03-03; judged wrong by prophetofprofit on 2019-03-07.
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Seth Frotman's concerns about student loan lending practices will be vindicated ( 99% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by prophetofprofit on 2018-08-30; known on 2030-01-31.
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Turtle Island Foods (owners of the brand “Tofurky”) lawsuit against the new Missouri meat terminology law will fail, at least before appeals ( 60% confidence )
Created by prophetofprofit on 2018-08-30; known on 2020-11-16.
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The combination of VMware and Dell will proceed (in spite of the October shareholder vote) with Dell paying no more than $22 billion in cash and stock to buy back the tracking stock securities that correspond with Dell's interest in VMware. ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by prophetofprofit on 2018-08-29; known on 2019-06-30; judged wrong by prophetofprofit on 2019-03-07.
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Q falls asleep in the car on the way to Canada ( 65% confidence )
Created by prophetofprofit on 2015-09-22; known on 2015-09-22; judged wrong by prophetofprofit on 2015-09-23.
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CNC Mills designed specifically for the manufacture of ghost guns (such as ghost gunner which is designed for easy AR-15 manufacturing) will be illegal (or effectively banned) in the U.S. by 2020 ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by prophetofprofit on 2015-09-12; known on 2020-01-01.
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The fed will increase the effective federal funds rate by the end of 2016 by at least .5% ( 61% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by prophetofprofit on 2015-08-27; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2017-01-01.