Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Displaying all predictions made by predicted. Filter by:
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Shogun Rua will defeat Lyoto Machida at UFC 113 ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by predicted on 2010-04-21; known on 2010-05-08; judged right by gwern on 2010-07-29.
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Travel to Europe will be delayed for a week due to Volcanic ash. ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by predicted on 2010-04-19; known on 2010-04-02; judged right by gwern on 2010-07-29.
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Health Care Bill will be passed in the United States ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by predicted on 2010-03-22; known on 2011-01-31; judged right by predicted on 2010-03-22.
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The Socceroos will make it through the first round of the World Cup. ( 59% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predicted on 2010-03-21; known on 2010-06-23; judged wrong by Danni on 2010-06-29.