PredictionBook transitioning to read-only mode at the end of 2023 ( read more ).

“Julia Gillard to no longer be Prime Minister of Australia before midnight ET 30 Sep 2011” (excluding death) —Intrade

Created by gwern on 2011-09-05; known on 2011-09-30; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2011-09-30.

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction