Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
Displaying all predictions made by lazarus. Filter by:
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Lula will be elected Brazil's next president in 2022. ( 55% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by okayspm on 2021-10-04; known on 2022-12-11.
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GPT-3 or comparably advanced AI will be used to generate in-game AI behavior, gameplay logic, and/or story/plot content in a AAA game. ( 30% confidence; 4 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by topherhunt on 2020-12-12; known on 2021-12-31; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2022-04-08.
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Politics, US – Donald Trump concedes the 2020 US Presidential Election before the start of the 18th of January 2021. ( 28% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2020-11-15; known on 2021-01-18; judged right by jbeshir on 2021-01-10.
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[For coronavirus 2019] Mortality rate of total pop in America will be under .01% by 2021. ( 31% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by lazarus on 2020-03-05; known on 2020-06-16; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-06-23.
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[For coronavirus 2019] Fear will subside by June 15th, 2020. ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by lazarus on 2020-03-05; known on 2020-06-16; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-06-18.
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[For coronavirus 2019] most danger will be gone by June 15th, 2020. ( 51% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by lazarus on 2020-03-05; known on 2020-06-16; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-06-23.