Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 50% | 100% | 92% | 86% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 1 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 41 |
Displaying all predictions made by pdf. Filter by:
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NYC gyms will be allowed to remain open (not necessarily full capacity) throughout the potential 4th wave of covid infections. ( 72% confidence )
Created by pdf on 2021-02-22; known on 2021-06-15; judged right by pdf on 2021-06-15.
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bitcoin worth 66k+ in a year ( 43% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-08; known on 2022-02-08; judged wrong by pdf on 2022-02-11.
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Mike Pence will certify Joe Biden’s electoral college victory on 6 January ( 89% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sjy on 2021-01-05; known on 2021-01-07; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-07.
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Trump is said to have made a “full recovery” from Covid and has again made light of the disease at least once. ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by pdf on 2020-10-05; known on 2020-11-04.
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I'll have listed all my “any” and “1month” items to sell ( 90% confidence )
Created by pdf on 2020-10-05; known on 2020-10-12; judged right by pdf on 2020-10-12.
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1-bed rent in Manhattan is at least 1% lower than it was in March 2019 ( 83% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by pdf on 2020-10-05; known on 2021-03-01; judged right by pdf on 2021-03-01.
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I will weigh 205 or more in the morning ( 75% confidence )
Created by pdf on 2020-09-25; known on 2021-02-22; judged right by pdf on 2021-02-22.
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Trump wins 2020 election ( 38% confidence; 21 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Deepak on 2020-06-11; known on 2020-11-03; judged wrong by Deepak on 2020-11-07.
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Andrew Yang runs as a third party candidate ( 13% confidence; 11 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-06-03; known on 2020-11-01; judged wrong by sty.silver on 2020-11-02.