Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Displaying all predictions made by LazyOptimist. Filter by:
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xkcd “Time” will show its last unique frame before 2014 ( 94% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by itaibn on 2013-03-31; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by itaibn on 2013-07-29.
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BTC hits $1000 within the year ( 15% confidence; 20 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by ashrewdmint on 2013-04-03; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by ashrewdmint on 2013-11-28.
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BTC hits $500 within the year ( 35% confidence; 23 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by ashrewdmint on 2013-04-03; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by ashrewdmint on 2013-11-28.
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Supremes make same-sex marriage law of the land. ( 38% confidence; 12 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2013-03-27; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by Patrick Brinich-Langlois on 2014-01-01.