Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11751 | 16422 | 16888 | 17550 | 31268 | 8024 | 101903 |
Judged Predictions
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“Beto O’Rourke leads the Democratic field” ( 10% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-26; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2020-01-02.
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Maduro ousted before end of 2019 ( 29% confidence; 13 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-03-10; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2020-01-02.
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[Alex Honnold will be alive on] January 1st, 2020 ( 97% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by WilliamKiely on 2019-03-15; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by WilliamKiely on 2020-01-02.
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Mueller does not indict Trump. ( 66% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2018-02-06; known on 2019-01-01; judged right by TracyPoff on 2020-09-02.
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A non-Marvel film to outgross “Captain Marvel” in 2019 ( 67% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[In 2019 at least one country in Europe (other than UK) to] hold a referendum on leaving the EU ( 5% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[In 2019 at least one country in Europe (other than UK) to] hold a vote in parliament/legislature on leaving the EU ( 5% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[In 2019 at least one country in Europe (other than UK) to] hold a referendum on leaving the eurozone ( 2% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Cody Garbrandt to fight again before 2019 EOY ( 44% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Xiong Jingnan to be ONE strawweight champion at 2019 EOY ( 74% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Angela Lee to be ONE atomweight champion at 2019 EOY ( 77% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Bibiano Fernandes to be ONE bantamweight champion at 2019 EOY ( 69% confidence )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Shinya Aoki to be ONE lightweight champion at 2019 EOY ( 65% confidence )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Zebaztian Kadestam to be ONE welterweight champion at 2019 EOY ( 60% confidence )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Aung La Nsang to be ONE champion in at least one weight class at 2019 EOY ( 70% confidence )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Brandon Vera to be ONE heavyweight champion at 2019 EOY ( 40% confidence )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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“Britain out of EU” ( 78% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-26; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-02.
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[In 2019 at least one country in Europe (other than UK) to] hold a referendum on leaving the EU ( 5% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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1 or more “CRISPR babies” will be announced before the end of 2019 ( 63% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Selentelechia on 2019-01-16; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Daniel Cormier is UFC heavyweight champion ( 23% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Jon Jones is UFC light heavyweight champion ( 77% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Robert Whittaker is UFC middleweight champion ( 48% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[OMX Tallinn] to outperform OMX Vilnius in 2019 ( 38% confidence; 11 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-04; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Kamaru Usman is UFC welterweight champion ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Khabib Nurmagomedov is UFC lightweight champion ( 57% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Max Holloway is UFC featherweight champion ( 69% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Henry Cejudo is UFC flyweight champion ( 68% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Amanda Nunes is UFC featherweight champion ( 78% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Amanda Nunes is UFC bantamweight champion ( 74% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Valentina Shevchenko is UFC flyweight champion ( 79% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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Joe Rogan to announce departure from UFC commentary by 2019 EOY ( 19% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-14; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Dominick Cruz is UFC bantamweight champion ( 6% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Joanne Calderwood to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Jessica Eye to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Rose Namajunas is UFC strawweight champion ( 21% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Cody Garbrandt is UFC bantamweight champion ( 6% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Liz Carmouche to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Chris Cyborg to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 4% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Katlyn Chookagian to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 2% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Holly Holm to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 4% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Germaine de Randamie to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 12% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Ketlen Vieira to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 2% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Raquel Pennington to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Cat Zingano to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Michelle Waterson to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Weili Zhang to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 47% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Claudia Gadelha to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Nina Ansaroff to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Tatiana Suarez to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 6% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.
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[Fighting] Jessica Andrade to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 36% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.