Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
Displaying all predictions made by akrasib. Filter by:
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The @VegAssist Twitter bot will have at least 60 followers by the end of 2015. ( 84% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by akrasib on 2015-10-22; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by akrasib on 2015-10-27.
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The @VegAssist Twitter bot will be banned before July 2016. ( 24% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by akrasib on 2015-10-22; known on 2016-07-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-07-01.
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At least one Dutch citizen will be penalized for downloading/spreading copyrighted material using a P2P system using a device located in the Netherlands before the end of 2016. A case started before 2017, but finished in the year 2017 counts as well. ( 55% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by akrasib on 2015-10-22; known on 2017-01-01.
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At least one Dutch citizen will be penalized for downloading/spreading copyrighted material using a P2P system on a device located in the Netherlands before the end of 2015. A case started before 2016, but finished in the year 2016 counts as well. ( 10% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by akrasib on 2015-10-22; known on 2016-01-01.
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Eliezer Yudkowsky to have at least 1 child by 2020 ( 22% confidence; 31 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by sdr on 2015-10-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2020-01-01.