In the comments of http://lesswrong.com/r/lesswrong/lw/9eo/a_call_for_solutions_and_a_tease_of_mine/, somebody will mention prediction markets in the next three days.
Created by HonoreDB on 2012-01-16; known on 2012-01-19; judged right by Anubhav on 2012-01-16.
- HonoreDB estimated 70% on 2012-01-16
- gwern said “sorry, but it is a good suggestion” on 2012-01-16
- HonoreDB judged this prediction right on 2012-01-16.
- HonoreDB said “Looks like Slackson posted at the same time as you anyway.” on 2012-01-16
- Anubhav judged this prediction right on 2012-01-16.
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