Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 49% | 51% | 69% | 69% | 86% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 43 | 130 | 147 | 155 | 174 | 0 | 649 |
Displaying all predictions made by nick. Filter by:
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My PredictionBook calibration will be obviously better by my 400th prediction than it is now at 208 predictions. ( 80% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by nick on 2013-03-14; known on 2015-03-14; judged right by nick on 2015-03-15.
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I will be physically stronger than a bear someday (possibly assisted by a mech or something, but not a remote-controlled one). ( 15% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by nick on 2013-03-14; known on 2100-01-01.
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There is some way to see my older, open, private predictions that are cut off on my user page, but I'm just not seeing it. ( 10% confidence; 4 comments )
Created by nick on 2013-02-15; known on 2013-03-15; judged wrong by nick on 2013-03-14.