Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 50% | 68% | 74% | 95% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 2 | 34 | 37 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 159 |
Displaying all predictions made by htaussig. Filter by:
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Joe Biden has a near-death experience in the next two years ( 9% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-07; known on 2023-02-06; judged wrong by Reinersaltaccount on 2023-02-06.
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eth at 5k+ in a year ( 13% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by htaussig on 2021-04-19; known on 2022-04-19; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2022-04-20.
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btc at 100k+ in two years ( 31% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by htaussig on 2021-04-19; known on 2023-04-19; judged wrong by htaussig on 2023-05-17.
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humans on mars by 2030 ( 28% confidence; 13 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by htaussig on 2021-03-20; known on 2030-01-01.
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andrew yang becomes mayor of new york ( 27% confidence; 8 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by htaussig on 2021-03-08; known on 2021-11-03; judged wrong by htaussig on 2021-11-08.
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joe biden dies in presidency ( 5% confidence; 14 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-26; known on 2025-02-26.
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humans on mars before 2030 ( 24% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-26; known on 2030-02-26.
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Will talk with Mali today ( 85% confidence )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-16; known on 2021-02-16; judged right by htaussig on 2021-02-23.
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Everyone will be at the EA meeting tomorrow ( 90% confidence )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-16; known on 2021-02-17; judged right by htaussig on 2021-02-23.
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Josh and I will still be good friends next month (talk at least once this month) ( 97% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-14; known on 2021-03-14; judged right by htaussig on 2021-02-16.
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Abi and I will still be good friends next month (talk at least once this month) ( 99% confidence )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-14; known on 2021-03-14; judged right by htaussig on 2021-02-16.
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Teddy will go to Annisquam ( 80% confidence )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-10; known on 2021-02-14; judged wrong by htaussig on 2021-02-14.
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No one in the EA group will miss 3 weeks in a row ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-08; known on 2021-03-22; judged right by htaussig on 2021-03-22.
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Won't get the first EA Speaker I emailed ( 90% confidence )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-08; known on 2021-02-22; judged right by htaussig on 2021-02-14.
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bitcoin worth 66k+ in a year ( 43% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-08; known on 2022-02-08; judged wrong by pdf on 2022-02-11.
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bitcoin worth less than 44k in 1 week ( 48% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-08; known on 2021-02-15; judged wrong by htaussig on 2021-02-16.
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Talk with Natalie tonight ( 20% confidence )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-07; known on 2021-02-08; judged wrong by htaussig on 2021-02-08.
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50% of people are vaccinated in 5 months ( 15% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-07; known on 2021-07-06; judged wrong by htaussig on 2021-07-14.
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World War 3 next year ( 0% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-07; known on 2022-02-06; judged wrong by meedstrom on 2022-02-13.
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All my friends will be back at school next semester ( 70% confidence )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-06; known on 2021-09-10; judged right by htaussig on 2021-11-08.
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Land a kickflip today ( 60% confidence )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-06; known on 2021-02-07; judged right by htaussig on 2021-02-07.
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I will get a covid vaccine in by September 2021 ( 70% confidence )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-04; known on 2021-11-01; judged right by htaussig on 2021-11-08.