Google is more likely to buy Square than Apple (conditioned on being bought by 1 of the 2 by end of 2013)
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-06-09; known on 2014-01-01
- RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-06-09
- RandomThinker said “Another try at phrasing an acquisition prediction. Withdrawn if not acquired or acquired by someone else.” on 2012-06-09
- Jayson Virissimo said “Maybe you can use a conditional statement with a disjunction as the antecedent like this: If either Google or Apple acquire Square, then Apple will not acquire Square.” on 2012-06-10
- RandomThinker said “@jayson I’m not so worried about the language as setting the par right. The problem with acquisition predictions is that the probability of any specific one is too low, and so it’s not worth speculating on here about it. ” on 2012-06-10
- RandomThinker said “Square is not bought. So withdrawing.” on 2014-07-07
- RandomThinker withdrew the prediction on 2014-07-07
- RandomThinker said “Close though both were rumored to have considered buying Square. Google was closer to actually doing it. http://www.idownloadblog.com/2014/04/09/apple-google-bidding-to-buy-square/” on 2014-07-07
- RandomThinker said “This one also said Google is more likely. http://appleinsider.com/articles/14/04/09/apple-considered-buying-mobile-payment-firm-square-but-google-deal-seen-as-more-likely” on 2014-07-07
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