Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 66% | 73% | 84% | 81% | 88% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 73 | 37 | 50 | 32 | 52 | 11 | 255 |
Displaying all predictions made by Vipul Naik. Filter by:
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At least four GiveWell staff members with inputs in our cost-effectiveness model change their moral weights for either valuing health vs. income or age-weighting by at least 25%, and they attribute that change to IDinsight's beneficiary preferences survey ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2019-06-23; known on 2021-02-01.
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GiveWell total money moved in 2016 from donors excluding Good Ventures who donate more than $100,000 will be between $10 million and $50 million. For comparison, the amount in 2015 was a little under $27 million (plus money with uncertain attribution). ( 68% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2016-11-13; known on 2018-02-03; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2018-03-31.
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GiveWell total money moved in 2016 from donors donating less than $100,000 will be between $10 million and $20 million. For comparison, the amount in 2015 was a little under $13 million. ( 68% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2016-11-13; known on 2018-02-03; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2018-03-31.
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By the end of 2018, the all-time peak value for “Total IPv6 adoption” in https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html will exceed 25%. ( 58% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-11-24; known on 2019-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2019-01-02.
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By the end of 2018, the all-time peak value for “Percentage of pages loaded over HTTPS in Chrome by platform” on Windows will exceed 75%. ( 74% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-11-24; known on 2019-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2019-06-23.
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By the end of 2018, the all-time peak value for “Percentage of pages loaded over HTTPS in Chrome by platform” on Mac will exceed 85%. ( 71% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-11-24; known on 2019-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2019-01-02.
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Data published by Cisco in 2020 or 2021 about total volume of IP traffic per month in 2020 will show an amount more than 10% higher than their prediction of 228 EB. ( 39% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-11-05; known on 2022-01-02.
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Data published by Cisco in 2019 or 2020 about total volume of IP traffic per month in 2019 will show an amount more than 10% higher than their prediction of 186 EB. ( 40% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-11-04; known on 2021-01-02.
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Data published by Cisco in 2018 or 2019 about total volume of IP traffic per month in 2018 will show an amount more than 10% higher than their prediction of 151 EB. ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-11-04; known on 2020-01-02.
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On or before January 1, 2020, there will be at least one YouTube video with over 6 billion views. ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-10-12; known on 2020-01-02; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.
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On or before January 1, 2020, there will be at least one YouTube video with over 5 billion views. ( 72% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-10-12; known on 2020-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2018-04-05.
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Taylor Swift's Look What You Made Me Do will reach 1 billion views on YouTube in fewer days than Adele's Hello. ( 41% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-09-08; known on 2018-02-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-11-24.
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Despacito will reach 4 billion YouTube video views on or before January 1, 2018, and will be the fastest song to have ever reached 4 billion views at the time it reaches that milestone. ( 88% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-30; known on 2018-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-11-23.
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Despacito will reach 3 billion YouTube video views on or before September 1, 2017, and will be the fastest song to have ever reached 3 billion views at the time it reaches that milestone. ( 96% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-30; known on 2017-09-03; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-08-04.
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[The video with the most views on YouTube, as of January 1, 2018, will be] See You Again ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01; known on 2018-01-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2018-01-02.
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[The video with the most views on YouTube, as of January 1, 2018, will be] A video released before June 1, 2017, that is not in the above list ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01; known on 2018-01-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2018-01-02.
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[The video with the most views on YouTube, as of January 1, 2018, will be] A video released on or after June 1, 2017 ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01; known on 2018-01-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2018-01-02.
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[The video with the most views on YouTube, as of January 1, 2018, will be] Shape Of You ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01; known on 2018-01-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2018-01-02.
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[The video with the most views on YouTube, as of January 1, 2018, will be] Despacito ( 78% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01; known on 2018-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2018-01-01.
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[GiveWell will publish its annual report on money moved and web traffic for 2016 ] between August 1 and August 31, 2017 ( 25% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01; known on 2018-01-03; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-09-14.
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[GiveWell will publish its annual report on money moved and web traffic for 2016 ] on or after January 1, 2018 ( 1% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01; known on 2018-01-03; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2018-01-03.
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[GiveWell will publish its annual report on money moved and web traffic for 2016 ] never ( 4% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01; known on 2018-01-03; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2018-01-03.
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[GiveWell will publish its annual report on money moved and web traffic for 2016 ] between October 1 and December 31, 2017 ( 5% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01; known on 2018-01-03; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2018-01-03.
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[GiveWell will publish its annual report on money moved and web traffic for 2016 ] between September 1 and September 30, 2017 ( 49% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01; known on 2018-01-03; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-09-30.
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[GiveWell will publish its annual report on money moved and web traffic for 2016 ] between July 1 and July 31, 2017 ( 55% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01; known on 2018-01-03; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-08-02.
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Yelp (website) will receive more pageviews in June 2017 than in June 2016, as judged at https://www.quantcast.com/yelp.com ( 43% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01.
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ServerFault will receive more pageviews in June 2017 than in June 2016, as judged at https://www.quantcast.com/serverfault.com ( 59% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01.
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Stack Overflow will receive more pageviews in June 2017 than in June 2016, as judged at https://www.quantcast.com/stackoverflow.com ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01.
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GiveWell will publish its annual report on money moved and web traffic for 2016 on or before July 1, 2017. ( 64% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01.
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Shape of You will reach 2 billion YouTube video views on or before January 1, 2018. ( 88% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2018-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-08-06.
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Despacito will reach 2 billion YouTube video views on or before January 1, 2018, and will be the fastest song to have ever reached 2 billion views at the time it reaches that milestone. ( 85% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2018-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-17.
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The total number of mobile web pageviews for the Mammals tag will be lower for June 2017 than for June 2016. ( 53% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01.
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The total number of mobile web pageviews for the Cognitive biases tag will be lower for June 2017 than for June 2016. ( 42% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01.
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The total number of mobile web pageviews for the Countries tag will be lower for June 2017 than for June 2016. ( 42% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01.
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The total number of mobile web pageviews for the Colors tag will be lower for June 2017 than for June 2016. ( 56% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Mammals tag will be lower for June 2017 than for June 2016. ( 55% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the American Civil War tag will be lower for June 2017 than for June 2016. ( 51% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Colors tag will be lower for June 2017 than for June 2016. ( 80% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Countries tag will be lower for June 2017 than for June 2016. ( 54% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Cities tag will be lower for June 2017 than for June 2016. ( 56% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Insects tag will be lower for June 2017 than for June 2016. ( 75% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Internet protocols tag will be lower for June 2017 than for June 2016. ( 56% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Cognitive biases tag will be less for June 2017 than for June 2016. ( 53% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Analytical chemistry tag will be lower for June 2017 than for June 2016. ( 56% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Korean television shows and series tag will be lower for June 2017 than for June 2016. ( 15% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02; known on 2017-07-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-03.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Korean television shows and series tag will be lower for May 2017 than for May 2016. ( 17% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-02; known on 2017-06-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Analytical chemistry tag will be lower for May 2017 than for May 2016. ( 53% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01; known on 2017-06-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Cognitive biases tag will be lower for May 2017 than for May 2016. ( 53% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01; known on 2017-06-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Internet protocols tag will be lower for May 2017 than for May 2016. ( 53% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01; known on 2017-06-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Mammals tag will be lower for May 2017 than for May 2016. ( 51% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01; known on 2017-06-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Insects tag will be lower for May 2017 than for May 2016. ( 73% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01; known on 2017-06-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Cities tag will be lower for May 2017 than for May 2016. ( 56% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01; known on 2017-06-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Countries tag will be lower for May 2017 than for May 2016. ( 58% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01; known on 2017-06-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Colors tag will be lower for May 2017 than for May 2016. ( 73% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01; known on 2017-06-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the American Civil War tag will be lower for May 2017 than for May 2016. ( 53% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01; known on 2017-06-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02.
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The Against Malaria Foundation would have finished raising $150 million in lifetime money raised as of March 1, 2018. ( 73% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-28; known on 2018-03-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2018-03-04.
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The Against Malaria Foundation would have finished raising $125 million in lifetime money raised as of October 1, 2017. ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-28; known on 2017-10-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-06-02.
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As of January 1, 2018, there will be at least five songs with over a billion streams each on Spotify. ( 62% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-22; known on 2018-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-12-11.
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On or before January 1, 2020, there will be at least one YouTube video with over 4 billion views. ( 76% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-22; known on 2020-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-10-12.
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As of January 1, 2020, there will be at least five YouTube videos with over three billion views each https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most_viewed_YouTube_videos ( 73% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-22; known on 2020-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2018-04-05.
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As of January 1, 2019, there will be at least five YouTube videos with over three billion views each https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most_viewed_YouTube_videos ( 53% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-22; known on 2019-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2018-04-05.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Cities tag will be lower for April 2017 than for April 2016. ( 58% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-02; known on 2017-05-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01.
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The total number of mobile web pageviews for the countries tag will be lower for April 2017 than for April 2016. ( 40% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01; known on 2017-05-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-03.
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The total number of mobile web pageviews for the insects tag will be lower for April 2017 than for April 2016. ( 42% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01; known on 2017-05-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01.
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The total number of mobile web pageviews for the colors tag will be lower for April 2017 than for April 2016. ( 50% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01; known on 2017-05-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the insects tag will be lower for April 2017 than for April 2016. ( 60% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01; known on 2017-05-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the birds tag will be lower for April 2017 than for April 2016. ( 53% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01; known on 2017-05-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the mammals tag will be lower for April 2017 than for April 2016. ( 56% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01; known on 2017-05-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Japanese television shows and series tag will be lower for April 2017 than for April 2016. ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01; known on 2017-05-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Korean television shows and series tag will be lower for April 2017 than for April 2016. ( 32% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01; known on 2017-05-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the American Civil War tag will be lower for April 2017 than for April 2016. ( 47% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01; known on 2017-05-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Countries tag will be lower for April 2017 than for April 2016. ( 53% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01; known on 2017-05-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Colors tag will be lower for April 2017 than for April 2016. ( 70% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01; known on 2017-05-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01.
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“[T]wo years from now, the Center will be spending at least $2 million a year, and will be considered by one or more of our relevant technical advisors to have a reasonably good reputation in the field.” Prediction will prove true. ( 42% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-16; known on 2019-02-07.
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There will be a Wikipedia page about Vipul Naik's paid editing of Wikipedia, as of April 1, 2018. ( 21% confidence; 6 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-12; known on 2018-04-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2018-04-02.
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Vipul will get married before he dies ( 31% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by playablecharacter on 2017-03-11; known on 3001-01-01.
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I will have a gf at some point ( 81% confidence; 10 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by playablecharacter on 2017-03-11; known on 3001-01-01.
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Vipul Naik will have a girlfriend at some point in 2017 or later, in the 21st century. ( 48% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-11; known on 2101-01-01.
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Issa will get another girlfriend in this century ( 69% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by playablecharacter on 2017-03-11; known on 2100-01-01; judged right by Issa Rice on 2020-09-09.
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I will post more on Facebook in 2017 than I did in 2016 (as judged by myself). ( 59% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-11; known on 2018-01-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2018-01-02.
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The COIN thread on Vipul Naik's paid editing enterprise will continue to receive at least three comments a day as of March 15, 2017. ( 19% confidence; 8 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-09; known on 2017-03-16; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-16.
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Vipul Naik will be banned from editing Wikipedia as of March 31, 2017. ( 18% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-09; known on 2017-04-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01.
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There will be a standalone Wikipedia page https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_Facebook as of March 31, 2017. ( 18% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-09; known on 2017-04-02; judged right by Issa Rice on 2017-04-02.
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There will be a standalone Wikipedia page about GiveWell https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GiveWell as of March 31, 2017. ( 54% confidence; 13 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-09; known on 2017-04-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the American Civil War tag will be lower for March 2017 than for March 2016. ( 43% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-01; known on 2017-04-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Cities tag will be lower for March 2017 than for March 2016. ( 57% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-01; known on 2017-04-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-02.
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GiveWell will publish its annual report on money moved and web traffic for 2016 on or before May 1, 2017. ( 31% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-01; known on 2017-05-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-02.
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GiveWell will publish at least one of its annual review blog posts on or before April 1, 2017. ( 60% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-01; known on 2017-04-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-28.
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The EA Funds team will decide to continue with the EA Funds after the initial three-month period. ( 72% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-01; known on 2017-07-02; judged right by ioannes on 2017-07-02.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Colors tag will be lower for March 2017 than for March 2016. ( 70% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-01; known on 2017-04-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01.
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The total number of desktop pageviews for the Countries tag will be lower for March 2017 than for March 2016. ( 53% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-01; known on 2017-04-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01.
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The total number of United States F-1 visas issued in mainland China in Fiscal Year 2016 will be less than in Fiscal Year 2015. ( 62% confidence; 5 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-02-23; known on 2018-03-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2018-03-04.
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Wikipedia Views (wikipediaviews.org) will survive in a form very similar to its present form as of January 1, 2018. ( 97% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-02-20; known on 2018-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2018-01-02.
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Quantcast will continue to show visits and pageviews data for Stack Overflow till the end of 2017. ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-02-20; known on 2018-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2018-01-02.
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Facebook market cap will not drop below $200 billion at any time in 2017. ( 74% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-02-20; known on 2018-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2018-01-02.
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Weekday ridership at the Fremont BART will decline once the Warm Springs / South Fremont BART becomes operational, as judged by Vipul Naik based on data at http://www.bart.gov/about/reports/ridership ( 67% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-02-20; known on 2018-02-07; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-04.
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Facebook will report more than 1.6 billion DAUs for December 2018, compared to 1.23 billion for December 2016 at https://investor.fb.com/investor-news/press-release-details/2017/Facebook-Reports-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2016-Results/default.aspx ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-02-20; known on 2019-02-07; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2019-06-23.
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Facebook will report more than 1.5 billion DAUs for December 2018, compared to 1.23 billion for December 2016 at https://investor.fb.com/investor-news/press-release-details/2017/Facebook-Reports-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2016-Results/default.aspx ( 69% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-02-20; known on 2019-02-07; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2019-06-23.
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Facebook will report more than 1.4 billion DAUs for December 2017, compared to 1.23 billion for December 2016 at https://investor.fb.com/investor-news/press-release-details/2017/Facebook-Reports-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2016-Results/default.aspx ( 71% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-02-20; known on 2018-02-07; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2018-02-02.
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Facebook will report more than 1.3 billion DAUs for December 2017, compared to 1.23 billion for December 2016 at https://investor.fb.com/investor-news/press-release-details/2017/Facebook-Reports-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2016-Results/default.aspx ( 81% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-02-20; known on 2018-02-07; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2018-02-02.