Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11751 | 16422 | 16888 | 17550 | 31268 | 8024 | 101903 |
Judged Predictions
-
Blogger Susie Bubble of Style Bubble is headed to Sydney for fashion week in May. ( 80% confidence )
Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide on 2010-03-22; known on 2010-05-22; judged wrong by guru on 2010-04-20.
-
Colin will not come over tonight ( 85% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2010-04-18; known on 2010-04-19; judged right by Frank on 2010-04-19.
-
James has a massive penis ( 100% confidence )
Created by james on 2010-04-02; known on 2010-04-02; judged wrong by channers on 2010-04-12.
-
bombers will finish in top 8 this season ( 40% confidence )
Created by mktg2010 on 2010-03-24; known on 2010-09-16; judged wrong by guru on 2010-04-05.
-
Transparent fashion will be a hit this season ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide on 2010-03-29; known on 2010-08-29; judged right by plymoth on 2010-04-02.
-
The furry mono-brow will not make it big any time soon. ( 98% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide on 2010-03-25; known on 2010-06-16; judged right by arivera on 2010-04-20.
-
The furry mono-brow will not make it big any time soon. ( 98% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide on 2010-03-25; known on 2010-06-16; judged right by arivera on 2010-04-20.
-
The furry mono-brow will not make it big any time soon. ( 98% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide on 2010-03-25; known on 2010-06-16; judged right by arivera on 2010-04-20.
-
I will get into Bishop's ( 90% confidence )
Created by BlackandRedStreaks on 2010-01-21; known on 2010-04-16; judged right by saralehman on 2010-04-01.
-
i will fool people tomorrow!! ( 96% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by urban on 2010-03-31; known on 2010-04-01; judged wrong by saralehman on 2010-04-01.
-
the easter holidays will go super fast!! ( 100% confidence )
Created by bubble on 2010-03-31; known on 2010-04-12; judged right by bubble on 2010-03-31.
-
Manchester United will win the English Premier league ( 50% confidence )
Created by EPL_Predictor on 2010-03-20; known on 2010-05-09; judged wrong by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-09.
-
Mav will find out what the name of the gorgeous red head is…you know, the one who works at Gloria Jeans in the M:Town. Morning coffee…it's the highlight of my day ;) ( 95% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by mavmetropolis on 2010-03-23; known on 2010-03-30; judged right by mavmetropolis on 2010-03-30.
-
Purple eye shadow is going to be HOT this season! ( 70% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide on 2010-03-15; known on 2010-06-21; judged right by melissasajeh on 2010-04-20.
-
the bub will be a boy ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Frank on 2010-01-25; known on 2010-03-29; judged right by Frank on 2010-03-29.
-
Cannabis will be legalised within Australia by 2012 ( 23% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by d403 on 2010-02-28; known on 2012-01-02; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-02.
-
Cannabis will be legalised within Australia by 2012 ( 23% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by d403 on 2010-02-28; known on 2012-01-02; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-02.
-
Tommy Ton of Jac & Jil blog will head down under for Rosemount Australian Fashion Week. ( 80% confidence )
Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide on 2010-03-22; known on 2010-05-22; judged right by Angus on 2010-03-25.
-
Velvet will make a comeback ( 60% confidence )
Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide on 2010-03-15; known on 2010-09-15; judged right by Angus on 2010-03-25.
-
Purple eye shadow is going to be HOT this season! ( 70% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide on 2010-03-15; known on 2010-06-21; judged right by melissasajeh on 2010-04-20.
-
Blogger Susie Bubble of Style Bubble is headed to Sydney for fashion week in May. ( 80% confidence )
Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide on 2010-03-22; known on 2010-05-22; judged wrong by guru on 2010-04-20.
-
We'll be seeing a lot of fur vests this winter. ( 92% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide on 2010-03-23; known on 2010-08-23; judged wrong by guru on 2010-04-20.
-
The furry mono-brow will not make it big any time soon. ( 98% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide on 2010-03-25; known on 2010-06-16; judged right by arivera on 2010-04-20.
-
I get into Harvey Mudd ( 5% confidence )
Created by PotatoDumplings on 2010-01-05; known on 2010-06-05; judged wrong by PotatoDumplings on 2010-03-25.
-
'Demons' will defeat 'Hawks' in Round 1 ( 46% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by AFL_Predictor on 2010-03-17; known on 2010-03-27; judged wrong by rennie on 2010-03-24.
-
'Tigers' will defeat 'Blues' in Round 1 ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by AFL_Predictor on 2010-03-17; known on 2010-03-25; judged wrong by akavc15 on 2010-03-24.
-
The US economy will collapse resulting in massive inflation prior to the end of 2010. ( 30% confidence; 24 wagers; 13 comments )
Created by max on 2009-10-14; known on 2011-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2011-01-01.
-
'Tigers' will defeat 'Blues' in Round 1 ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by AFL_Predictor on 2010-03-17; known on 2010-03-25; judged wrong by akavc15 on 2010-03-24.
-
'Demons' will defeat 'Hawks' in Round 1 ( 46% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by AFL_Predictor on 2010-03-17; known on 2010-03-27; judged wrong by rennie on 2010-03-24.
-
'Demons' will defeat 'Hawks' in Round 1 ( 46% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by AFL_Predictor on 2010-03-17; known on 2010-03-27; judged wrong by rennie on 2010-03-24.
-
'Demons' will defeat 'Hawks' in Round 1 ( 46% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by AFL_Predictor on 2010-03-17; known on 2010-03-27; judged wrong by rennie on 2010-03-24.
-
'Tigers' will defeat 'Blues' in Round 1 ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by AFL_Predictor on 2010-03-17; known on 2010-03-25; judged wrong by akavc15 on 2010-03-24.
-
Health Care Bill will be passed in the United States ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by predicted on 2010-03-22; known on 2011-01-31; judged right by predicted on 2010-03-22.
-
My train home will be delayed by more than 3 minutes today. ( 80% confidence )
Created by wednesday on 2010-03-21; known on 2010-03-22; judged right by wednesday on 2010-03-22.
-
will bill get the fabled boxo on saturday night? ( 87% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by mastrinc14 on 2010-03-17; known on 2010-03-21; judged wrong by mastrinc14 on 2010-03-22.
-
The Socceroos will make it through the first round of the World Cup. ( 59% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predicted on 2010-03-21; known on 2010-06-23; judged wrong by Danni on 2010-06-29.
-
The Socceroos will make it through the first round of the World Cup. ( 59% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predicted on 2010-03-21; known on 2010-06-23; judged wrong by Danni on 2010-06-29.
-
The Socceroos will make it through the first round of the World Cup. ( 59% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predicted on 2010-03-21; known on 2010-06-23; judged wrong by Danni on 2010-06-29.
-
The Socceroos will make it through the first round of the World Cup. ( 59% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predicted on 2010-03-21; known on 2010-06-23; judged wrong by Danni on 2010-06-29.
-
Iowa Hawks win National Wrestling Tournament by 20 points ( 99% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by cmayer on 2010-03-19; known on 2010-03-20; judged right by cmayer on 2010-03-21.
-
Australia will not compete in the 2010 Commonwealth games ( 60% confidence )
Created by jimbob7 on 2010-02-17; known on 2010-02-17; judged wrong by Chris31 on 2010-03-20.
-
Australia will change drinking age to 21 ( 10% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by kassey on 2010-02-10; known on 2011-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-01-01.
-
Hugo is the chosen one because he is the only one who sees Jacob! ( 60% confidence )
Created by guru on 2010-03-17; known on 2010-05-27; judged right by juju on 2010-03-18.
-
i will end up going on a holiday ( 89% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by NATASHA on 2010-03-18; known on 2010-05-16; judged right by NATASHA on 2010-03-18.
-
Prediction book will get some desperately needed moderation. ( 21% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Jack on 2010-02-15; known on 2010-03-15; judged wrong by al3xal3x on 2010-03-18.
-
tomorrow will be sunny? ( 99% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by kristian on 2010-03-17; known on 2010-03-18; judged right by kristian on 2010-03-18.
-
The “LessWrong Singularity article” will be accepted for publication. http://lesswrong.com/lw/1fz/a_less_wrong_singularity_article/ ( 6% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by Pavitra on 2009-11-25; known on 2010-03-15; judged wrong by Laurent Bossavit on 2010-03-17.
-
'Demons' will defeat 'Hawks' in Round 1 ( 46% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by AFL_Predictor on 2010-03-17; known on 2010-03-27; judged wrong by rennie on 2010-03-24.
-
'Demons' will defeat 'Hawks' in Round 1 ( 46% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by AFL_Predictor on 2010-03-17; known on 2010-03-27; judged wrong by rennie on 2010-03-24.
-
'Demons' will defeat 'Hawks' in Round 1 ( 46% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by AFL_Predictor on 2010-03-17; known on 2010-03-27; judged wrong by rennie on 2010-03-24.