Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Displaying all predictions made by cmessinger. Filter by:
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Adept AI's demo is way better than it can actually do (https://twitter.com/AdeptAILabs/status/1590396065072951296) ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by cmessinger on 2022-11-10; known on 2023-07-02.
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Tester ( 60% confidence )
Created by cmessinger on 2022-10-27; known on 2022-10-27.
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Matt will have submitted his app to the store by August 15. ( 50% confidence )
Created by cmessinger on 2017-07-23; known on 2017-08-15.
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Almost all commercial airplanes will have outlets by 2030 ( 41% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by cmessinger on 2015-08-17; known on 2030-01-07.
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Almost all commercial airplanes will have wifi by 2019 ( 75% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by cmessinger on 2015-08-17; known on 2019-01-07; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-08.
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Obama will be elected President in 2012 ( 69% confidence; 10 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by cmessinger on 2011-08-16; known on 2012-11-05; judged right by HonoreDB on 2012-11-07.