Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Displaying all predictions made by richardbliss. Filter by:
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D-Day Dice will become the top funded Tabletop game on Kickstarter by raising $82,000+ ( 81% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by richardbliss on 2011-11-07; known on 2011-12-08; judged right by gwern on 2011-12-08.
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Kickstarter will generate more than $2.5 million USD in successfully funded game projects that are non-video related in 2012 ( 80% confidence )
Created by richardbliss on 2011-11-04; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by richardbliss on 2013-01-01.
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A game project which is non-video will raise more than $100,000 on Kickstarter by August 31, 2012 ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by richardbliss on 2011-11-04; known on 2012-09-01; judged right by roxton on 2012-05-04.
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Either Mitt Romney or Barack Obama will win the 2012 Presidential election. ( 91% confidence; 29 wagers )
Created by HonoreDB on 2011-11-04; known on 2012-11-07; judged right by HonoreDB on 2012-11-07.