Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11751 | 16422 | 16888 | 17550 | 31268 | 8024 | 101903 |
Judged Predictions
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I will own a large dog ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by mad on 2014-04-16; known on 2025-01-01; judged right by mad on 2016-04-14.
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I will not be living in Australia on December 31st, 2015 ( 4% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by mad on 2014-10-11; known on 2015-12-31; judged wrong by mad on 2016-04-14.
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I will receive a promotion or get a new job by 2016 ( 75% confidence )
Created by mad on 2014-10-11; known on 2015-12-31; judged wrong by mad on 2016-04-14.
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The Kingdom of North Sudan will be officially recognized by the African Union before 2015. ( 1% confidence )
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2014-07-13; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-14.
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“3D printing” will be a multi-billion dollar industry by 2021. ( 71% confidence; 14 wagers; 13 comments )
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known on 2021-01-01; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-14.
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Zika will be found not to be the (sole, proximate) cause of microencephaly for the recent cases in Brazil ( 22% confidence; 6 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by davidmanheim on 2016-02-17; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by davidmanheim on 2021-01-01.
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PSG wins 2016 Champions League ( 10% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Andrew MacFie on 2016-03-23; known on 2016-05-28; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2016-04-12.
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Wolfsburg wins 2016 Champions League ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Andrew MacFie on 2016-03-23; known on 2016-05-28; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2016-04-12.
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At least 12 billion paid 160 trillion free mobile app downloads in 2015 on all platforms combined. ( 16% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2015-12-13; known on 2016-07-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-11.
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I will buy some lego today ( 80% confidence )
Created by Temeraire on 2016-04-10; known on 2016-04-11; judged right by Temeraire on 2016-04-10.
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I workout tomorrow ( 30% confidence )
Created by Nikola on 2016-04-08; known on 2016-04-09; judged wrong by Nikola on 2016-04-09.
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MercMob not in operation or has less than 100 open mobs 5 years from now. ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Nic_Smith on 2011-04-08; known on 2016-04-08; judged right by Nic_Smith on 2016-04-08.
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SpaceX to successfully land the first stage on a droneship in the CRS-8 launch. ( 51% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2016-04-01; known on 2016-04-25; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2016-04-08.
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SpaceX to recover first stage of an orbital rocket after ocean barge landing in first half of 2016 ( 71% confidence; 9 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by mortehu on 2016-01-11; known on 2016-07-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2016-04-08.
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I will submit my upcoming project by EOD Friday, 4/8 ( 85% confidence )
Created by ioannes on 2016-03-22; known on 2016-04-08; judged wrong by ioannes on 2016-04-08.
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I run Freedom 24/7 for the next week ( 80% confidence )
Created by ioannes on 2016-03-30; known on 2016-04-08; judged right by ioannes on 2016-04-08.
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There is sufficient depth in the bid logs ( 77% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2016-01-02; known on 2016-04-01; judged right by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2016-04-07.
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I will not have eaten any meat intentionally before a month from now. ( 72% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Sahil on 2016-02-21; known on 2016-03-21; judged right by Sahil on 2016-04-06.
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Ted Cruz to gain a majority of the delegates from the Wisconsin primary. ( 84% confidence )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2016-04-05; known on 2016-04-06; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2016-04-06.
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I finish the Nanodegree 5th project by EOD Sunday. ( 70% confidence )
Created by ioannes on 2016-03-28; known on 2016-04-04; judged wrong by ioannes on 2016-04-05.
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Liberal MLA elected in Saskatchewan Election 2016 ( 19% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-03-16; known on 2016-06-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-05.
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Green Party MLA elected in Saskatchewan Election 2016 ( 24% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-03-16; known on 2016-06-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-05.
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Sask Party Majority Government in Saskatchewan Provincial Election 2016 ( 84% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-03-16; known on 2016-06-01; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-05.
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NDP minority government in Saskatchewan Provincial Election 2016 ( 0% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-03-16; known on 2016-06-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-05.
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Sask Party Minority in Saskatchewan Provincial Election 2016 ( 15% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-03-16; known on 2016-06-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-05.
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NDP full wipe out in Saskatchewan Provincial Election 2016 ( 24% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-03-16; known on 2016-06-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-05.
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We will leave tomorrow. ( 50% confidence )
Created by Qwonvo on 2016-04-03; known on 2016-04-04; judged wrong by Qwonvo on 2016-04-04.
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I will say something that will trigger 3>laughs in the next 8 hours. ( 65% confidence )
Created by Qwonvo on 2016-04-02; known on 2016-04-03; judged right by Qwonvo on 2016-04-03.
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I will fall asleep in the wedding ceremony. ( 87% confidence )
Created by Qwonvo on 2016-04-02; known on 2016-04-02; judged wrong by Qwonvo on 2016-04-03.
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X will make <5 signs of anger this evening. ( 54% confidence )
Created by Qwonvo on 2016-04-02; known on 2016-04-03; judged right by Qwonvo on 2016-04-03.
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X will make >2 derogatory statements concerning religion. ( 80% confidence )
Created by Qwonvo on 2016-04-02; known on 2016-04-02; judged right by Qwonvo on 2016-04-03.
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UMaine Machias will offer me a tenure track position before April 2. ( 30% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2016-03-23; known on 2016-04-03; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2016-04-03.
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UMaine Machias will offer me a non-tenure track lecture position before April 2. ( 6% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2016-03-23; known on 2016-04-03; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2016-04-03.
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The VIX index will go above 35 by April 1, 2016 ( 41% confidence; 13 wagers; 12 comments )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2016-01-11; known on 2016-04-01; judged wrong by equivrel-markets on 2016-04-02.
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Dzhokhar Tsarnaev not convicted under federal terror charges. ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2013-04-22; known on 2016-04-22; judged wrong by jesselevine on 2016-04-01.
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I will submit my upcoming project by April 1, 2016 ( 40% confidence )
Created by ioannes on 2016-03-22; known on 2016-04-01; judged wrong by ioannes on 2016-04-01.
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I will go to Colorado in March 2016 ( 99% confidence )
Created by ioannes on 2016-02-01; known on 2016-04-01; judged right by ioannes on 2016-04-01.
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no more blizzards in march in #tbay ( 59% confidence; 4 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-03-12; known on 2016-04-01; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-01.
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[OOTS] O-Chul will be alive the next time we see or hear of him ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Grognor on 2014-04-07; known on 2016-02-15; judged right by PlacidPlatypus on 2016-03-30.
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[OOTS] O-Chul will be alive the next time we see or hear of him ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Grognor on 2014-04-07; known on 2016-02-15; judged right by PlacidPlatypus on 2016-03-30.
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[OOTS] O-Chul will be alive the next time we see or hear of him ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Grognor on 2014-04-07; known on 2016-02-15; judged right by PlacidPlatypus on 2016-03-30.
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I will travel to Lyons on Monday ( 95% confidence )
Created by ioannes on 2016-03-26; known on 2016-03-29; judged right by ioannes on 2016-03-29.
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By end of 2015, the 1984 Computer Fraud and Abuse Act would have been amended to remove Terms of Service violations ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by RandomThinker on 2013-01-16; known on 2015-12-31; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2016-03-29.
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By the end of 2015, at least one poll of Bernie Sanders v. a GOP candidate in head-to-head will be done that is respected enough that it will be included by RCP on their Presidential polling list. ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-06-19; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2016-03-29.
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Bharat's defence exports will at least double to Rs1200 Crore. ( 71% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-17; known on 2016-03-31; judged right by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-29.
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Is Any one try online class with www.facetofacestudy.com ?? ( 66% confidence; 3 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by facetofacestudy on 2016-03-16; known on 2016-03-23; judged wrong by jesselevine on 2016-03-28.
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Of the 7 satellites of IRNSS satellite navigation constellation, 4 are already in orbit while the remaining 3 will be in place by March 2016. ( 62% confidence; 5 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-12; known on 2016-03-30; judged wrong by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-27.
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The Burea of Economic Analysis March 25 real GDP growth rate for the USA economy in 2015 will be <= 2.10%. ( 80% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-31; known on 2016-03-26; judged wrong by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-27.
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Grave Scrabbler will be reprinted in the Magic: The Gathering expansion “Shadows Over Innistrad”. ( 64% confidence )
Created by Sniffnoy on 2016-02-07; known on 2016-04-02; judged wrong by Sniffnoy on 2016-03-25.
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Hillary Clinton will win the U.S. general election on November 8, 2016. ( 82% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by ren on 2016-03-24; known on 2016-11-08; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-11-09.