Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Displaying all predictions made by dragonfly. Filter by:
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The majority of people will not worship man-made Gods by the year 2030. ( 26% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by dragonfly on 2011-07-04; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-03.
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The gap between the low and high end of the human IQ will at least double in magnitude by the year 2020. This basically means you'll have a lot of low and high IQ people but not so much people in the middle that could bridge the gap between them. An a ( 50% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by dragonfly on 2011-07-04; known on 2015-06-01; judged unknown by dragonfly on 2011-07-04.