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GJP: #1049 Will Asif Ali Zardari resign, lose re-election/confidence vote, or vacate the office of President of Pakistan before 1 June 2012?

Created by gwern on 2011-12-14; known on 2012-06-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-06-01.

  • gwern estimated 35% on 2011-12-14
  • gwern said “5 year term, elected in 2008, so I don’t think an election is scheduled until 2013?on 2011-12-14
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-06-01.

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