Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 25% | 60% | 80% | 79% | 82% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 3 | 48 |
Displaying all predictions made by TheBlackFox. Filter by:
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Democrats will not take the senate in 2018 ( 63% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by SeriousPod on 2018-08-02; known on 2018-11-07; judged right by lukefreeman on 2018-11-07.
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Kim Jong Un is leader of North Korea on 12/31/18 ( 90% confidence; 12 wagers )
Created by ccokeefe on 2018-01-03; known on 2019-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.
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Current Iranian regime is overthrown by April 2018 ( 6% confidence; 15 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by ioannes on 2018-01-02; known on 2018-04-01; judged wrong by ioannes on 2018-04-02.
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It will not snow in Aderet this week ( 97% confidence )
Created by TheBlackFox on 2016-01-24; known on 2016-01-30; judged right by TheBlackFox on 2016-02-03.
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Israel will not get in a large-scale war (ie >100 Israeli deaths) with any Arab state for the remainder of 2015. ( 92% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2015-06-15; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by Madplatypus on 2016-01-03.
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My bus will arrive by 11:45 ( 50% confidence )
Created by TheBlackFox on 2015-05-08; known on 2015-05-08; judged right by TheBlackFox on 2015-05-08.
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that is a guy ( 75% confidence )
Created by TheBlackFox on 2015-04-27; known on 2015-04-27; judged right by TheBlackFox on 2015-04-27.
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I will get my favourite seat on the bus ( 62% confidence )
Created by TheBlackFox on 2015-04-20; known on 2015-04-20; judged wrong by TheBlackFox on 2015-04-20.
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NATO and Russia will not have exchanged fire by the end of 2015. ( 83% confidence; 9 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by doxievee on 2015-02-01; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2016-01-01.
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It will rain in Adderet in the next 7 days ( 85% confidence )
Created by TheBlackFox on 2015-01-25; known on 2015-01-25; judged wrong by TheBlackFox on 2015-01-30.
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US Supreme Court to rule in favor of gay marriage. ( 76% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-01-17; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by kuudes on 2015-06-26.
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Tim Cook will be ousted as Apple CEO within the next 2 years. ( 31% confidence; 16 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by andrevan on 2013-04-27; known on 2015-04-30; judged wrong by krazemon on 2015-04-30.