PredictionBook transitioning to read-only mode at the end of 2023 ( read more ).

Part 2 of Shikamaru vs the Logical Fallacies to be ready within a month

Created by gwern on 2012-01-08; known on 2012-02-08; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-02-08.

  • gwern estimated 45% on 2012-01-08
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-02-08.

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