Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 100% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
Displaying all predictions made by yurifury. Filter by:
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I will enjoy this random youtube thing. ( 20% confidence )
Created by yurifury on 2012-01-08; known on 2012-01-08; judged wrong by yurifury on 2012-01-08.
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Bitcoin >$9000 by February. ( 0% confidence; 16 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by gwern on 2012-01-06; known on 2012-02-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-02-01.
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Julian Assange will not be convicted in Sweden of charges related to August 2010 ( 73% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by gwern on 2010-12-03; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2013-01-01.
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I will finish ai-class unit 13 today. ( 60% confidence )
Created by yurifury on 2011-11-27; known on 2011-11-28; judged right by yurifury on 2011-11-27.
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Dark Souls patch will introduce more bugs that will require another patch ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by ultramarinefoil on 2011-11-22; known on 2011-12-10; judged wrong by yurifury on 2011-12-11.
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Dark Souls patch will be out within two weeks. ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by yurifury on 2011-11-22; known on 2011-12-06; judged right by yurifury on 2011-11-22.
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Dark Souls patch will be out within a week. ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by yurifury on 2011-11-22; known on 2011-11-28; judged right by yurifury on 2011-11-22.
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gwern will make a prediction on PredictionBook any time during 2012 (UTC) ( 96% confidence; 14 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2011-08-24; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by Anubhav on 2012-01-03.
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MoR update within a week ( 31% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by yurifury on 2011-05-19; known on 2011-05-26; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2011-05-26.
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I will finish leave_command today ( 80% confidence )
Created by yurifury on 2011-05-01; known on 2011-05-02; judged right by yurifury on 2011-05-02.