Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 34% | 50% | 48% | 63% | 80% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 35 | 24 | 27 | 41 | 56 | 16 | 199 |
Displaying all predictions made by Christopher. Filter by:
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I will be accepted to UChicago EA. ( 25% confidence )
Created by Christopher on 2012-12-13; known on 2012-12-18; judged wrong by Christopher on 2012-12-19.
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I will be accepted to MIT EA. ( 25% confidence )
Created by Christopher on 2012-12-11; known on 2012-12-16; judged wrong by Christopher on 2012-12-15.
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I will finish and be happy with my rough draft of my Stanford essay by tomorrow evening. ( 55% confidence )
Created by Christopher on 2012-08-28; known on 2012-08-29; judged right by Christopher on 2012-08-29.
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Writing about my English teacher will be the idea I stick with for my Stanford essay. ( 70% confidence )
Created by Christopher on 2012-08-28; known on 2012-08-29; judged wrong by Christopher on 2012-08-29.
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My plane to Shanghai will crash tomorrow ( 0% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Christopher on 2012-07-02; known on 2012-07-03; judged wrong by Christopher on 2012-07-03.
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I will read through Alicorn's Living Luminously sequence by the end of March. Any skimming not made up for will result as a failure. ( 80% confidence )
Created by Christopher on 2012-03-06; known on 2012-04-01; judged right by Christopher on 2012-03-10.
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There will be at least one human being alive on earth even after the end of the year 2012 ( 99% confidence; 15 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by vinayak on 2012-02-07; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by vinayak on 2013-01-01.
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The Hunger Games film will not fail (>= 60% on Rotten Tomatoes). ( 60% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Christopher on 2012-01-29; known on 2012-03-24; judged right by Christopher on 2012-03-23.
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SOPA will become US law and either Youtube or Megaupload will be shutdown. ( 24% confidence; 11 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-12-21; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by Christopher on 2012-06-25.