Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
Displaying all predictions made by Luke. Filter by:
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Marijuana will be unscheduled, taxed and regulated similar to alcohol at a federal level in the United States before 2025. ( 42% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2021-01-01; known on 2025-01-02.
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Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev will remain in power as of May 15, 2022. ( 71% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Luke on 2022-01-11; known on 2022-05-15; judged right by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2022-05-26.
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GME will reach $1000 at some point before 1 March 2021. ( 13% confidence; 22 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by galaga on 2021-01-29; known on 2021-03-01; judged wrong by galaga on 2021-03-01.
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COVID, UK – 13 million people have been vaccinated (at least one dose) by the 15th of February, in line with government targets. ( 60% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2021-01-10; known on 2021-02-16; judged right by jbeshir on 2021-03-05.
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COVID, UK – At least ten million doses of vaccine have been administered before the end of January 2021 in the UK. ( 20% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2021-01-03; known on 2021-02-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2021-02-01.
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The U.S. will surpass 36 million confirmed COVID-19 cases by July 1, 2021 at 00:00 GMT, defined as total cases reported at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/. ( 31% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Luke on 2020-12-26; known on 2021-07-02; judged wrong by stepan on 2021-07-10.
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ULA's Vulcan rocket to fly by end of 2021. ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2020-12-18; known on 2022-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2022-01-01.