Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11751 | 16422 | 16888 | 17550 | 31268 | 8024 | 101903 |
Judged Predictions
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JH is at his usual table ( 60% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20; known on 2015-01-20; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20.
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Rochdale is further north than Chesterfield ( 55% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20; known on 2015-01-20; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20.
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George Osborne is younger than David Cameron ( 80% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20; known on 2015-01-20; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20.
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HW by 11:55 today ( 12% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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Pelicans will beat/draw against Raptors ( 53% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-18; known on 2015-01-19; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-19.
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Spurs will beat/draw against Jazz ( 65% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-18; known on 2015-01-19; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-19.
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R as leaving BK ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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R as leaving BK ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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R as leaving BK ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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R as leaving BK ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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We see Ricky went we enter BK ( 59% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19.
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We see Ricky went we enter BK ( 59% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19.
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CBAB has a recollection of eating something in BK ( 49% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-20; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19.
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CBAB has a recollection of eating something in BK ( 49% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-20; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19.
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CBAB has a recollection of eating something in BK ( 49% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-20; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19.
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We see Ricky went we enter BK ( 59% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19.
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JH is around the corner ( 80% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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BK receipts M,W or F ( 55% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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HW until I go to Po's ( 5% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-17; known on 2015-01-24; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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She will catch the bus ( 85% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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I get a response from E. ( 65% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-18; known on 2015-03-01; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-18.
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I get a response from E, and the response is favorable. ( 40% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-18; known on 2015-03-01; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-18.
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Pelicans will beat/draw against 76ers ( 52% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-16; known on 2015-01-17; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-18.
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Pistons will beat/draw against Pacers ( 53% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-16; known on 2015-01-17; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-18.
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My initial interpretation of that FB story I saw is correct. ( 64% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-18; known on 2015-01-18; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-18.
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David Cameron was born in 1967 or later ( 25% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-17; known on 2015-01-17; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-17.
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We see Ricky as we leave BK ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-16; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-17.
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We see Ricky as we leave BK ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-16; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-17.
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This can of Diet Coke has >=1kcal of given as its energy ( 53% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-17; known on 2015-01-17; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-17.
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I go into Po's this Friday ( 89% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-12; known on 2015-01-18; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-17.
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Wizards will beat/draw against Nets ( 52% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-15; known on 2015-01-17; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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I will learn to pick locks by January ( 40% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-28; known on 2015-01-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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We won't get a dog by January ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-28; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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I'll finish the first chapter of TAOCP by January ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-01; known on 2015-01-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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I will still have 15 or more followers on Twitter by January ( 90% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-08; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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I will be able to do a free-standing handstand for more than 15 seconds by January ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-09; known on 2015-01-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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My Italian deck will have over 1000 cards by January ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-14; known on 2015-01-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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I will upgrade my computer by January ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-16; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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One of my predictions will be the top prediction on 16th of January ( 30% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-19; known on 2015-01-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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I will have over 45 completed predictions by January ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-24; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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I will have over 10 due predictions on 16th January ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-25; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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I will have over 20 predictions to be judged by 16th January ( 40% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-25; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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PJ will contact me for billing info. ( 4% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-16; known on 2015-01-20; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-16.
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Former French President Nicolas Sarkozy will not be tried before the end of the year, for the affair he has been indicted today. ( 80% confidence )
Created by clemux on 2014-07-02; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by clemux on 2015-01-16.
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“Average Global Temperature for 2014 to be among five warmest years on record” —Intrade ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by gwern on 2010-08-15; known on 2015-01-02; judged right by kuudes on 2015-01-16.
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The FTSE 100 will be below 7000 on January 16th ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-13; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by kuudes on 2015-01-16.
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The FTSE 100 will be valued at over 6100 in January http://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/prices-and-markets/stocks/indices/summary/summary-indices.html?index=UKX ( 70% confidence; 5 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-11; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by kuudes on 2015-01-16.
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I'll still be alive at the end of 2014 ( 97% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Osuniev on 2014-08-03; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by woodse on 2015-01-16.
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A god will give me absolute unambiguous proof of his existence to me by tomorrow at noon. ( 0% confidence )
Created by woodse on 2015-01-16; known on 2015-01-16; judged wrong by woodse on 2015-01-16.
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A god will give me absolute unambiguous proof of his existence to me by tomorrow at noon. ( 0% confidence )
Created by woodse on 2015-01-16; known on 2015-01-16; judged wrong by woodse on 2015-01-16.