Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 57% | 53% | 56% | 56% | 67% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 7 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 49 |
Displaying all predictions made by batemancapital. Filter by:
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Investors in the WeWork IPO will lose more than 50% of their investment within 3 years ( 71% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by sjy on 2019-08-18; known on 2022-09-01.
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TSLA price drops below $25 before 2025 ( 19% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by batemancapital on 2021-07-26; known on 2025-01-01.
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Alexei Navalny (Alexei Anatolievich Navalny) (born 4 June 1976) dies within five (5) years ( 67% confidence; 21 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by two2thehead on 2021-04-13; known on 2026-04-13.
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Trump will run for president in 2024 ( 23% confidence; 14 wagers )
Created by sty.silver on 2020-11-06; known on 2024-06-30.
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There are ten or more US Supreme Court justices by the end of 2024 ( 14% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by peter_hurford on 2020-11-05; known on 2025-01-01.
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A Trump-nominated Supreme Court Justice is confirmed to replace Ginsburg before the 2020 November election. ( 79% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Deepak on 2020-10-07; known on 2020-11-04; judged right by Deepak on 2020-10-27.
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A Trump-nominated Supreme Court Justice is confirmed to replace Ginsburg before the 2020 November election. ( 67% confidence; 12 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Deepak on 2020-09-19; known on 2020-11-04.
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Supreme Court Nomination seen through before Pres election. ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by LukeS on 2020-09-26; known on 2020-11-03; judged right by LukeS on 2020-10-28.
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Republican remains Senate majority after 2020 election ( 51% confidence; 12 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-09-24; known on 2020-11-10; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-09.
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Whoever loses the American Presisential 2020 election will accept the results and there will not be any constitutional crisis or attempt to overturn the vote. ( 94% confidence; 3 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Reactionaryhistorian on 2020-09-21; known on 2021-01-21; judged wrong by Reactionaryhistorian on 2020-11-09.
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erowid.org still exists with its full archive available to the public, on May 1 2024 ( 77% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by finback on 2020-09-18; known on 2024-05-01.
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Harris will becoming the new Democratic candidate for the office of President (due to Biden's withdrawal or some other circumstance). ( 7% confidence; 14 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by unexpectedEOF on 2020-09-16; known on 2020-11-04; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2020-11-04.
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California will secede by 31 December 2030. ( 11% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by najdorf on 2020-09-10; known on 2030-12-31.
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Susan Rice becomes Biden's VP choice ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-08-07; known on 2020-10-01; judged wrong by batemancapital on 2020-08-11.
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Crude oil above $45 when August ends ( 43% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-07-27; known on 2020-09-01; judged wrong by batemancapital on 2020-09-01.
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Fed cuts Fed Fund rate to negative before end of 2020 ( 40% confidence )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-05-08; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by batemancapital on 2020-12-31.
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Donald Trump will be elected president in the 2020 presidential elections. ( 50% confidence; 18 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by korakos on 2020-04-30; known on 2020-11-05; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2020-11-07.
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Nicotine will be found to help fight coronavirus ( 2% confidence; 11 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by evand on 2020-04-26; known on 2021-04-26; judged wrong by evand on 2021-04-26.
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Kim Jong Un confirmed dead or vegetative state by end of June 2020 ( 23% confidence; 19 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-04-26; known on 2020-06-30; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2022-01-04.
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Gold reaches range $800~900/oz by 04/21/2021 ( 30% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-04-22; known on 2021-04-21; judged wrong by batemancapital on 2021-04-21.
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S&P 500 index retests 2200 by the end of 2020 ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-04-17; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by batemancapital on 2021-01-01.
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Remdesivir approved by the FDA by the end of July 2020 ( 57% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-04-18; known on 2020-08-01; judged right by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-05-02.
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U.S. 10-year bond yield dips below 0.25 in 2020 ( 65% confidence )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-04-17; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by batemancapital on 2020-12-31.
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US Corona-virus lock downs will end in May ( 57% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by gunner1313 on 2020-04-11; known on 2020-04-25; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-06-01.
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China will be revealed to have been faking data of COVID-19 confirmed cases by at least 30% on or before the end of year 2020. ( 51% confidence; 6 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2020-04-08; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by jacobgreenleaf on 2021-01-01.
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80,000 COVID-19 deaths in U.S. by July ( 80% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by qznc on 2020-04-06; known on 2020-07-31; judged right by MultiplyByZer0 on 2020-06-12.
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U.S. 10yr Treasury yield dips below 0.5% in second quarter of 2020 ( 43% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-03-27; known on 2020-06-30; judged wrong by batemancapital on 2020-06-30.
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S&P 500 index dips below 2000 in year of 2020 ( 32% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-03-27; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by batemancapital on 2020-12-31.
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Trump dies of Coronavirus in 2020 ( 1% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by sty.silver on 2020-03-22; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by sty.silver on 2020-12-31.
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Joe Biden gets coronavirus in 2020 ( 28% confidence; 11 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sjy on 2020-03-22; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by sty.silver on 2020-12-31.
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SPX reaches 4000 by the end of 2021 ( 27% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-03-10; known on 2021-12-31; judged right by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2021-10-01.
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LBMA gold price reaches $1800/oz in 2020 ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-03-08; known on 2020-12-31; judged right by batemancapital on 2020-12-31.
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Fed Fund Rate range will be in 0-25bps after July FOMC meeting. ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-03-08; known on 2020-07-30; judged wrong by batemancapital on 2020-03-21.
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Federal Reserve cuts Fed Fund Rate range to 0-25bps by end of 2020 ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-03-08; known on 2020-12-31; judged right by batemancapital on 2020-03-21.
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10000+ cases of coronavirus confirmed by CDC in USA by June 1, 2020 ( 70% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by suitecake on 2020-02-26; known on 2020-06-01; judged right by suitecake on 2020-03-21.
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[By the end of 2020, the confirmed death toll by the Wuhan Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) will be over] 10,000 ( 56% confidence; 45 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by nortriptyline2 on 2020-01-22; known on 2021-01-01; judged right by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-03-20.
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April 2020 VIX call at 65 will be in the money ( 5% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-01-01; known on 2020-04-30; judged wrong by batemancapital on 2020-05-01.
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January 2020 VIX call at 22 will be in the money ( 33% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-01-01; known on 2020-01-31; judged wrong by batemancapital on 2020-01-31.
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U.S. 10 year Treasury yield below 3.5% before 2025 ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-01-01; known on 2024-12-31.
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S&P 500 index ends 2020 above 3500 ( 63% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-01-01; known on 2020-12-31; judged right by batemancapital on 2020-12-31.
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Dollar index (DXY) 2020 performance is negative ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-01-01; known on 2020-12-31; judged right by batemancapital on 2020-12-31.
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10Y Treasury yield goes above 2% in Q1 2020 ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by batemancapital on 2020-01-01; known on 2020-03-31; judged wrong by batemancapital on 2020-04-19.
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Donald Trump will NOT be re-elected ( 55% confidence; 26 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by tcsmithbiz@yahoo.com on 2019-12-23; known on 2020-11-04; judged right by Laurent Bossavit on 2020-11-07.
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Federal Reserve does not reduce target Fed Fund rate in 2020 ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by batemancapital on 2019-12-23; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by batemancapital on 2020-12-31.
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US Treasury 10Y yield >= 3% in 2020 ( 21% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by batemancapital on 2019-12-23; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by batemancapital on 2020-12-31.
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Scott Galloway: SEC, state AG or other regulatory body investigations into We within 60 days ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by batemancapital on 2019-09-22; known on 2019-11-21; judged right by batemancapital on 2019-11-21.
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Scott Galloway: SoftBank's Vision Fund will be shuttered within 12 months ( 35% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by batemancapital on 2019-09-22; known on 2020-09-22; judged wrong by batemancapital on 2020-09-24.
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Scott Galloway: Investigative journalism pieces documenting malfeasance at We within 30 days ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by batemancapital on 2019-09-22; known on 2019-10-22; judged right by batemancapital on 2019-11-21.
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Federal Reserve cuts rate by 25bps on September FOMC meeting ( 90% confidence )
Created by batemancapital on 2019-09-18; known on 2019-09-18; judged right by batemancapital on 2019-09-19.
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SoftBank stock suffers 50% correction from its all-time-high by end of 2020 ( 40% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by batemancapital on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by batemancapital on 2020-12-31.
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No WeWork IPO in 2019 ( 63% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by batemancapital on 2019-09-16; known on 2019-12-31; judged right by batemancapital on 2019-12-23.
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Hong Kong Dollar will not break peg in 2019 or 2020 ( 88% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by batemancapital on 2019-08-29; known on 2020-12-31; judged right by batemancapital on 2020-12-31.
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Treasury bonds yield ends lower for the day after Powell delivers Jackson Hole speech ( 65% confidence )
Created by batemancapital on 2019-08-22; known on 2019-08-23; judged right by batemancapital on 2019-08-23.
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[The 2020 Democratic presidential nominee will be] Joe Biden ( 56% confidence; 12 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by amadeu on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-07-16; judged right by amadeu on 2020-04-13.