Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 100% | 67% | 50% | 86% | 100% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 28 |
Displaying all predictions made by technillogue. Filter by:
-
CS gas used indoors in the US before 2029 ( 16% confidence )
Created by technillogue on 2022-06-12; known on 2028-01-01.
-
roommate has covid ( 25% confidence )
Created by technillogue on 2022-01-03; known on 2022-01-17; judged wrong by Goddess on 2022-04-30.
-
I have strep - history of sore throat, current pollen - 5-15% of adult throat inflammation is bacterial - no fever ( 15% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by technillogue on 2021-05-28; known on 2021-05-26; judged right by technillogue on 2021-05-28.
-
ETH will be above $2000 on March 1st ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by technillogue on 2021-02-10; known on 2021-03-02; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2021-03-11.
-
DOGE reaches $1 USD before 2021-02-14 ( 11% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by technillogue on 2021-01-29; known on 2021-02-14; judged wrong by azatris on 2021-02-15.
-
DOGE reaches 0.25 USD before 2021-02-14 ( 65% confidence )
Created by technillogue on 2021-01-29; known on 2021-02-14; judged wrong by technillogue on 2021-02-24.
-
GME will reach $1000 at some point before 1 March 2021. ( 13% confidence; 22 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by galaga on 2021-01-29; known on 2021-03-01; judged wrong by galaga on 2021-03-01.
-
I'm going to get a second PPP loan. (Mainly because there are so many places to apply, it seems like one of them will come through? But on the other hand, I'm about a week late in applying and maybe the money is basically all spoken for?) ( 78% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by EliTyre on 2021-01-27; known on 2021-02-15; judged right by EliTyre on 2021-03-17.
-
convictions for attempted murders of at least three of {Republicans who voted to impeach, Georgia senators, Biden, Harris} before 2023 ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by technillogue on 2021-01-14; known on 2023-01-01.
-
assassinations are attempted against both Georgia senators ( 4% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by technillogue on 2021-01-14; known on 2023-01-01.
-
an impeachment resolution against Biden is introduced before 2023 ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by technillogue on 2021-01-14; known on 2023-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2023-01-01.
-
A US elected official or non-LEO civilian employee is killed by a Trump supporter in or near a government building ( 5% confidence )
Created by technillogue on 2021-01-11; known on 2021-01-21; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-22.
-
A US government building is occupied for more than three hours ( 3% confidence )
Created by technillogue on 2021-01-11; known on 2021-01-21; judged wrong by technillogue on 2021-01-30.
-
at least two government buildings in different states are occupied for at least an hour before jan 21st ( 16% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by technillogue on 2021-01-11; known on 2021-01-21; judged wrong by technillogue on 2021-01-30.
-
At least one bombing causes at least one death in the US before Jan 21st ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by technillogue on 2021-01-11; known on 2021-01-21; judged wrong by technillogue on 2021-01-30.
-
I have currently have COVID-19 and will have a fever or positive test within 10 days ( 13% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by technillogue on 2021-01-11; known on 2021-01-22; judged wrong by technillogue on 2021-01-15.
-
I receive a job offer from radix.bio ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by technillogue on 2020-12-10; known on 2021-01-31; judged right by technillogue on 2021-02-24.
-
I currently have COVID-19 ( 6% confidence )
Created by technillogue on 2020-12-03; known on 2020-12-17; judged wrong by technillogue on 2020-12-10.
-
[Climate change reaches] <2c, no form of solar radiation is used (emission reduction, carbon capture) ( 25% confidence )
Created by technillogue on 2020-10-02; known on 2051-01-01.
-
[Climate change reaches] <2c, a form of solar radiation management other than marine cloud brightening is used ( 20% confidence )
Created by technillogue on 2020-10-02; known on 2051-01-01.
-
[Climate change reaches] <2c, marine cloud brightening is used ( 30% confidence )
Created by technillogue on 2020-10-02; known on 2051-01-01.
-
[Climate change reaches] +2c for at least a continuous year before 2050 ( 25% confidence )
Created by technillogue on 2020-10-02; known on 2051-01-01.
-
[Trump ] recovers and looses ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by technillogue on 2020-10-02; known on 2020-11-06; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2020-11-10.
-
[Trump ] recovers and wins ( 31% confidence )
Created by technillogue on 2020-10-02; known on 2020-11-06; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-11-10.
-
[Trump ] dies ( 4% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by technillogue on 2020-10-02; known on 2020-11-06; judged wrong by finback on 2020-11-06.
-
Trump dies of COVID-19 ( 6% confidence; 34 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by technillogue on 2020-10-02; known on 2021-01-22; judged wrong by sty.silver on 2020-12-31.