Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11751 | 16422 | 16888 | 17550 | 31268 | 8024 | 101903 |
Judged Predictions
-
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-22; known on 2015-02-23; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-22.
-
In HPMOR, Voldemort is/was at some point in the form of a disembodied spirit. ( 61% confidence; 12 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by ygert on 2012-12-18; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by Unknowns on 2015-02-21.
-
[HPMOR] Dumbledore did not kill (intentionally or unintentionally) Hermione. ( 79% confidence; 22 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by linkhyrule5 on 2013-08-16; known on 2014-07-02; judged right by linkhyrule5 on 2015-02-20.
-
It's in that PS episode ( 39% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-20; known on 2015-02-20; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-02-25.
-
FMK confirms pre 5 weeks wrt dd ( 15% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-20; known on 2015-02-20; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-20.
-
BK does hot chocolate ( 83% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-20; known on 2015-02-20; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-02-25.
-
A serves F BK ( 5% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-20; known on 2015-02-20; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-20.
-
G joins in at swing on Tuesday 10th February 2015. ( 25% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-07; known on 2015-02-11; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-20.
-
Vacation predictions: I will get dengue fever. ( 1% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-21; known on 2015-02-25; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-20.
-
I will have symptoms of Y between Feb 12 and Feb 19. ( 20% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-08; known on 2015-02-20; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-20.
-
The laptop that Mobiquity gives to us will be ours to keep. ( 70% confidence )
Created by Adam Zerner on 2015-02-17; known on 2015-02-18; judged wrong by Adam Zerner on 2015-02-20.
-
Obama signs executive order legalizing marijuana on the last day of his presidency. ( 4% confidence; 19 wagers; 10 comments )
Created by RESO on 2015-02-05; known on 2017-01-20; judged wrong by RESO on 2017-01-20.
-
Obama signs executive order legalizing marijuana on the last day of his presidency. ( 4% confidence; 19 wagers; 10 comments )
Created by RESO on 2015-02-05; known on 2017-01-20; judged wrong by RESO on 2017-01-20.
-
FC whilst still 20 ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-02-19; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-02-19.
-
KC whilst still 20 ( 17% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-02-19; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-02-19.
-
HP MoR: neither Quirrellmort, nor Snape, nor Dumbledore, nor Lucius, nor Hermione is responsible for framing Hermione. ( 10% confidence; 10 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by DrDiaphanous on 2013-05-10; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by DrDiaphanous on 2015-02-19.
-
HP MoR: Hermione alone is responsible for the attempted murder. ( 10% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by DrDiaphanous on 2013-05-10; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by DrDiaphanous on 2015-02-19.
-
HP MoR: Lucius Malfoy is responsible for framing Hermione. ( 9% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by DrDiaphanous on 2013-05-10; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by DrDiaphanous on 2015-02-19.
-
HP MoR: Dumbledore is responsible for framing Hermione. ( 12% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by DrDiaphanous on 2013-05-10; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by DrDiaphanous on 2015-02-19.
-
In HPMOR, Snape is responsible for framing Hermione. ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by DrDiaphanous on 2013-05-10; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by DrDiaphanous on 2015-02-19.
-
HP MoR: Quirrellmort is responsible for framing Hermione. ( 59% confidence; 10 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by DrDiaphanous on 2013-05-10; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by DrDiaphanous on 2015-02-19.
-
Ebola virus will be controlled in 6 months ( 52% confidence; 6 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-15; known on 2015-02-15; judged right by kuudes on 2015-02-19.
-
UMass does not change its policy with regard to admitting Iranian nationals to certain graduate programs before the deadline of this prediction. ( 60% confidence )
Created by tedks on 2015-02-18; known on 2015-02-25; judged wrong by tedks on 2015-02-18.
-
T FB ( 80% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-17; known on 2015-03-01; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-18.
-
HPMoR: Chapter 104 posted by midnight ending February 15th Berkeley time. ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-02-17; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-02-17.
-
Ben fixed the Internet. ( 75% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-17; known on 2015-02-17; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-17.
-
The Duluth REU will reject me. ( 60% confidence )
Created by azax1 on 2015-02-16; known on 2015-02-23; judged right by azax1 on 2015-02-16.
-
The T will be down on Monday for at least part of the day. ( 60% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-14; known on 2015-02-17; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-16.
-
Someone will complain about the tree. ( 25% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-16; known on 2015-02-16; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-16.
-
>13 HBs by the time I wake up tomorrow. ( 50% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-15; known on 2015-02-15; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-15.
-
>20 HBs by the time I wake up tomorrow. ( 20% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-15; known on 2015-02-15; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-15.
-
I will get to level 30 in LoL by February ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-29; known on 2015-02-15; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-02-15.
-
I will get all A's in my mocks ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-28; known on 2015-02-15; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-02-15.
-
I will achieve a new PB by February ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-10; known on 2015-02-15; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-02-15.
-
Islamist militants will cause one or more deaths in the UK, Germany, the Netherlands, Denmark, Spain, Portugal, or Italy before or at 23:59 on the 31st March 2015 (per @MWStory). ( 19% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by doxievee on 2015-02-01; known on 2015-04-01; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-02-14.
-
I will throw up in the next 6 months ( 10% confidence )
Created by Ham Nox on 2014-08-02; known on 2015-02-02; judged right by Ham Nox on 2015-02-14.
-
It will be overclouded on 10 February ( 70% confidence )
Created by xplkqlkcassia on 2015-02-09; known on 2015-02-10; judged wrong by xplkqlkcassia on 2015-02-14.
-
There will not be another meteor over Auckland tommorow ( 99% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by xplkqlkcassia on 2015-02-12; known on 2015-02-13; judged right by xplkqlkcassia on 2015-02-14.
-
The subway will be closed down for at least part of this weekend. ( 65% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-13; known on 2015-02-16; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-14.
-
J ran script. ( 10% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-13; known on 2015-02-14; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-14.
-
Google Helpouts is shut down within the next 5 years. ( 52% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by lettergram on 2014-02-01; known on 2019-02-02; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-02-13.
-
V will be there before I arrive. ( 95% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-11; known on 2015-02-12; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-12.
-
P will be there before I arrive. ( 70% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-11; known on 2015-02-12; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-12.
-
C will send me the files before 6pm today. ( 75% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-10; known on 2015-02-11; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-11.
-
Luke Muehlhauser will not publish a book (by a mainstream publisher) in 2013. ( 91% confidence; 2 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Pablo on 2012-10-01; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2015-02-11.
-
MIT will be closed Wednesday. ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-10; known on 2015-02-12; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-10.
-
Luke Muehlhauser will not publish a book (by a mainstream publisher) in 2013. ( 91% confidence; 2 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Pablo on 2012-10-01; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2015-02-11.
-
I will have all files from C by 11:59pm Monday night. ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-08; known on 2015-02-10; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-10.
-
By 10am tomorrow I will no longer be locked out of openVPN. ( 50% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-10; known on 2015-02-10; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-10.
-
>10 HBs by the time I wake up tomorrow. ( 85% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-10; known on 2015-02-10; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-02-10.