Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 43% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15 |
Displaying all predictions made by 1MillionAffen. Filter by:
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No widespread (>1%) issues with fertility as a result of the COVID-19 vaccine (e.g. pfizer) will be known (i.e. reported by reputable US based source e.g. NYT,FDA or equivalent) by 2022. ( 96% confidence; 15 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Ghodith on 2021-05-14; known on 2022-01-01; judged right by Ghodith on 2022-01-01.
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COVID, UK – Seven day average of cases exceeds 40,000 before deadline. ( 31% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2021-07-28; known on 2021-10-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2021-10-17.
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Between August 1 and December 31 2021, the UK will experience a 24 hour period where over 1,000 Covid related deaths are recorded ( 54% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by gurgus on 2021-07-19; known on 2022-01-01; judged wrong by gurgus on 2022-01-01.
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COVID, UK – UK exceeds a seven-day average of 100 deaths per day again (after this prediction) before the end of 2021. ( 83% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2021-07-11; known on 2022-01-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2022-01-02.
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In Germany CoViD cases (per 100k people per week) will rise again within a month (due to Delta variant) ( 74% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by qznc on 2021-06-20; known on 2021-07-21; judged right by qznc on 2021-07-21.
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Portugal's Covid Vaccination – I (a healthy 27 year old who didn't yet get the 1st dose) will get my 2nd dose during 2022 ( 43% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by LouisLC on 2021-05-02; known on 2022-04-01; judged wrong by LouisLC on 2021-11-03.
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Armin Laschet becomes the next chancellor of Germany after Angela Merkel ( 55% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by qznc on 2021-05-01; known on 2021-10-01; judged wrong by stepan on 2021-10-20.
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Germany's Green party gets the most seats in Bundestag 2021 ( 28% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by qznc on 2021-05-01; known on 2021-10-01; judged wrong by M on 2021-10-01.
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in 2022, public health officials recommend that you get “your yearly COVID shot”, even if you have previously been vaccinated against COVID ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by qznc on 2021-02-21; known on 2023-01-02; judged right by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2023-01-29.