Syria’s civil war will not end before 2016.
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2015-06-15; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2016-01-02.
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 75% on 2015-06-15
- JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2015-06-15
- IRS estimated 80% on 2015-06-16
- jesselevine estimated 80% on 2015-06-19
- David estimated 90% on 2015-06-20
- jesselevine estimated 95% on 2015-09-14
- kuudes estimated 95% on 2015-12-14
- JoshuaZ estimated 99% on 2015-12-14
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-17
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-20
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2015-12-20
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 95% on 2015-12-20
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 95% on 2015-12-20
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 95% on 2015-12-20
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 95% on 2015-12-20
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 100% on 2015-12-20
- kuudes said “Tapetum-Lucidum, what’s going on?” on 2015-12-21
- Raahul_Kumar said “He’s gone craaazy!” on 2015-12-21
- Tapetum-Lucidum said “You get to count predictions multiple times :)” on 2015-12-26
- Tapetum-Lucidum said “I’m willing to incur the additional variance the “100%” accuracy bucket, so I’m increasing my bet.” on 2015-12-26
- JoshuaZ estimated 100% and said “Yes, but it isn’t the nicest thing to do because it pushes down in the happenstance the recent things and there’s no easy way to then scroll through that when someone does a long set on the same prediction. ” on 2015-12-26
- Tapetum-Lucidum said “Oh sorry, I didn’t even know about that. I always go to the “view predictions” page. I won’t do it any more.” on 2016-01-02
- Tapetum-Lucidum judged this prediction right on 2016-01-02.
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