Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 50% | 36% | 85% | 80% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 4 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 20 | 0 | 54 |
Displaying all predictions made by DavidPercival. Filter by:
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Barack Obama will be reelected in the next US election. ( 55% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-05-20; known on 2012-11-06; judged right by HonoreDB on 2012-11-07.
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Australian refugees will be processed through Nauru again by the end of 2011. ( 35% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-06-06; known on 2012-01-06; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-06.
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Federer will beat Nadal in the French Open final ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-06-04; known on 2011-06-06; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-06-05.
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I will not drink any alcohol till final design presentation. ( 50% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-05-29; known on 2011-06-15; judged right by Eunseo on 2011-06-17.
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My credit card wil be one of the ones blocked by Westpac after the security breach! ( 20% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-05-27; known on 2011-05-28; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-05-28.
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At 3pm this Friday there will be 5 or fewer projects pinned up. ( 80% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-25; known on 2011-05-27; judged right by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-27.
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Barcelona will win the champions league final ( 70% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by puya on 2011-05-18; known on 2011-05-29; judged right by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-29.
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My MRI scan on Friday will cost no more than $290 ( 89% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-05-16; known on 2011-05-21; judged right by DavidPercival on 2011-05-21.
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CC Strikers will win their game tomorrow without me playing. ( 50% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-05-13; known on 2011-05-15; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-05-15.
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There will be another natural disaster somewhere in the world before the end of June. ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Mel Eclarinal on 2011-05-12; known on 2011-06-30; judged right by Mel Eclarinal on 2011-08-04.
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RBA will raise interest rates by 0.25% in June ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-07; known on 2011-06-07; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-06-07.
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There will be a terrorist attack in the USA in the next month. ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-05-07; known on 2011-06-07; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-06-07.
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Tottenham Hotspur will qualify for the Champions League this season. ( 20% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-05-07; known on 2011-07-07; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-06-27.
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There will be a terrorist attack on the US within the next month. ( 7% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-05-03; known on 2011-06-03; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-06-03.
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14/14 of my students will submit work on Wednesday that fulfils the minimum requirements. ( 35% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-04-30; known on 2011-05-05; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-05.
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My soccer game will be called off this weekend. ( 80% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-04-28; known on 2011-04-30; judged right by DavidPercival on 2011-04-30.
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The vicar will pronounce William or Kate's name wrong during the Royal Wedding. ( 1% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-04-28; known on 2011-04-30; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-04-30.
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There will be a terrorist attack in the UK/Ireland this Friday ( 15% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-04-28; known on 2011-04-30; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-04-30.
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ben will do the first floor of the opt model. ( 46% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by puya on 2011-04-17; known on 2011-04-22; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-05.
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Man UTD will beat Shalke 04 on semi-final of Champhions League. ( 78% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by dumun on 2011-04-14; known on 2011-05-05; judged right by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-06.
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2012 is not end of this world! ( 98% confidence; 14 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-04-11; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by kuudes on 2016-12-21.
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Northern hemisphere will be frozen into ice age by 2012 ( 5% confidence; 19 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Ye on 2011-04-10; known on 2012-12-12; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-12-12.
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It will rain for my soccer match tomorrow. ( 7% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-04-08; known on 2011-04-10; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-04-10.
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I will use one of Sydney's temporary open-air urinals within the next month. ( 10% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-04-06; known on 2011-05-06; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-05-07.
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Project and finance management will turn from 6 credit points to 12 credit points by the end of this year. ( 11% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by puya on 2011-04-06; known on 2011-12-29; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2012-01-10.
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Tottenham will defeat Real Madrid on aggregate in the Champions League ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-04-06; known on 2011-04-21; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-04-21.
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Christiano Ronaldo will play for Real Madrid against Tottenham Hotspur in tomorrows Champions League clash. ( 35% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-04-05; known on 2011-04-06; judged right by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-04-06.
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chelsea will eliminate man united in the quarterfinals of the champions league. ( 51% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by puya on 2011-03-30; known on 2011-04-06; judged wrong by dumun on 2011-04-14.
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I will write 3 blogs before 5 of April ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by wael on 2011-03-29; known on 2011-04-06; judged right by wael on 2011-04-06.
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The USA or Russia will be involved in my hypothetical nuclear threat scenario for my design studio. ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-29; known on 2011-05-29; judged right by DavidPercival on 2011-05-29.
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The USA or Russia will be involved in my hypothetical nuclear threat scenario for my design studio. ( 90% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-29; known on 2011-03-27.
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I will write 2 blog posts daily for 5 consecutive days starting tomorrow. ( 42% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Mel Eclarinal on 2011-03-28; known on 2011-04-04; judged right by Mel Eclarinal on 2011-04-02.
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Sydney Swans will beat Melborne in the AFL this weekend ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-24; known on 2011-03-27; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-03-28.
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Olivia will get the promotion to Customer Supervisor position at Qantas. ( 76% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-22; known on 2011-07-31; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-07-31.
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Labour will lose this weekends NSW State election. ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-21; known on 2011-03-27; judged right by DavidPercival on 2011-03-27.
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Tottenham Hotspur will beat West Ham by two goals or more tonight. ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-19; known on 2011-03-19; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-03-20.
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The international media will not mention anything about Japan's Earthquake on next Monday ( 18% confidence; 8 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by wael on 2011-03-17; known on 2011-03-22; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-22.
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Australia will no longer be part of the Commonwealth by 2020 ( 19% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-17; known on 2020-01-16; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-01-17.
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Australia will no longer be part of the Commonwealth by 2020 ( 75% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-17; known on 2011-03-17.
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Australia will no longer be part of the Commonwealth by 2020 ( 75% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-17; known on 2012-01-01.
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Australia will no longer be part of the Commonwealth by 2020. ( 75% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-17; known on 2011-01-01.
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Nuclear power plants will no longer operate by the year 2020. ( 12% confidence; 19 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by Mel Eclarinal on 2011-03-16; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by elephantower on 2020-01-01.
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I will struggle with the fitness training at Soccer tonight after my first Bikram Yoga session! ( 80% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-14; known on 2011-03-16; judged right by DavidPercival on 2011-03-17.
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I will beat Stephen in our latest game of 'Words with Friends' ( 50% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-11; known on 2011-03-18; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-04-14.
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less than 12 students will attend my class today ( 75% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-10; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.
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Our Qantas flight to Adelaide will depart Sydney on time tomorrow. ( 83% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-10; known on 2011-03-12; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-03-13.
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Ben will be late for the yoga class. ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Ye on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.
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I will be right time for yoga class! ( 80% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by nam2001 on 2011-03-11.
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ben will not make it back to comp lab by 4pm. ( 83% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Jessica Hartany on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-08; judged right by Jessica Hartany on 2011-03-08.
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I will fall asleep reading World War Z tonight due to exhaustion! ( 95% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-08; judged right by DavidPercival on 2011-03-08.
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I will aquire a copy of 'Children of the Dust' and watch the TV series in an attempt to develop an understanding of post-apocalyptic survival following nuclear war. ( 55% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-14; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-03-14.
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We will receive rain Friday, Saturday and Sunday because we are going to camp on a deserted beach! ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-01; known on 2011-03-06; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-03-07.