Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
Displaying all predictions made by aspire43. Filter by:
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Trump will start a TV show before 2025. ( 36% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-20; known on 2025-01-01.
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No Trump family indictments in 2021 ( 35% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-19; known on 2022-01-30; judged right by D0TheMath on 2022-01-30.
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[Biden Executive Order Frequency in First Term (orders/week)] <.973 ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-19; known on 2025-01-31.
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[Biden Executive Order Frequency in First Term (orders/week)] <.910 ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-19; known on 2025-01-31.
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[Biden Executive Order Frequency in First Term (orders/week)] <.773 ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-19; known on 2025-01-31.
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[Biden Executive Order Frequency in First Term (orders/week)] <.650 ( 10% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-19; known on 2025-01-31.
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[Biden Executive Order Frequency in First Term (orders/week)] < .608 ( 4% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-19; known on 2025-01-31.
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Joe Biden's administration will officially transition into power on schedule. ( 96% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by aspire43 on 2021-01-17; known on 2021-01-20; judged right by aspire43 on 2021-01-20.
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convictions for attempted murders of at least three of {Republicans who voted to impeach, Georgia senators, Biden, Harris} before 2023 ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by technillogue on 2021-01-14; known on 2023-01-01.
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at least two government buildings in different states are occupied for at least an hour before jan 21st ( 16% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by technillogue on 2021-01-11; known on 2021-01-21; judged wrong by technillogue on 2021-01-30.
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By July 2021, China will invade Taiwan. The invasion will take longer than anticipated and as a result China will use biological weapons. The USA and EU will do nothing. ( 4% confidence; 19 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by Random on 2021-01-11; known on 2021-07-31; judged wrong by D0TheMath on 2021-07-31.
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Politics, US – Parler's website is unavailable throughout 2021-01-17 ( 63% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2021-01-10; known on 2021-01-18; judged right by jbeshir on 2021-01-18.
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India's GDP for 2021-2022 will be higher than 2020-2021 ( 55% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by sam_jaques on 2021-01-08; known on 2022-04-01; judged right by sam_jaques on 2022-08-20.
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Politics, US – Donald Trump attempts to issue a pardon for himself before the end of the 20th of January 2021. ( 35% confidence; 12 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2021-01-03; known on 2021-01-21; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2021-01-21.
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Joe Biden is physically present in the Oval Office on one or more days between Jan 20, 2021-Jan 31, 2021 ( 84% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-07-23; known on 2021-02-01; judged right by kuudes on 2021-04-01.