My armodafinil shipment will arrive within 1 week
Created by gwern on 2012-02-06; known on 2012-02-11; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-02-11.
- gwern estimated 5% on 2012-02-06
- gwern said “background: 80×150mg, paid for tracking, shipper somewhere UK-ish, arrived in 3-4 weeks last time IIRC” on 2012-02-06
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2012-02-11.
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