My Modalert will arrive day after tomorrow.
Created by gwern on 2011-10-12; known on 2011-10-15; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-10-14.
- gwern estimated 33% on 2011-10-12
- gwern said “my eagerness definitely got the better of me with these predictions” on 2011-10-14
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2011-10-14.
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