Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 60% | 63% | 75% | 82% | 87% | 93% | |
Sample Size | 1292 | 1606 | 2197 | 2343 | 2286 | 671 | 10395 |
Displaying all predictions made by Cato. Filter by:
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[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 8% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-07.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] between $60 and $69.99 ( 25% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07; judged right by Cato on 2019-12-05.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 20% confidence; 12 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-05.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 14% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-05.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 6% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-05.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during October 2019 to be] between $60 and $69.99 ( 26% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-11-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-07.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during October 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 25% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-11-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-07.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during October 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 12% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-11-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-07.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during October 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 5% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-11-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-07.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during September 2019 to be] between $60 and $69.99 ( 30% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-10-07; judged right by Cato on 2019-10-03.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during September 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 26% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-10-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-10-03.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during September 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 12% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-10-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-10-03.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during September 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 4% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-10-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-10-03.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] between $60 and $69.99 ( 33% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-06.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 29% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-06.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 12% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-06.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 3% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-06.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during June 2019 to be] between $60 and $69.99 ( 29% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-07-07; judged right by Cato on 2019-07-02.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during June 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 30% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-07-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-02.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during June 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 14% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-07-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-02.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during June 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 5% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-07-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-02.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during May 2019 to be] between $60 and $69.99 ( 37% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-06-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-07.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during May 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 35% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-06-07; judged right by Cato on 2019-06-07.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during May 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 1% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-06-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-07.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during April 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 0% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-05-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-05.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during April 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 4% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-05-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-05.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during April 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 56% confidence; 12 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-05-07; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-05.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during April 2019 to be] between $60 and $69.99 ( 33% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-05-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-05.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during May 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 11% confidence; 8 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-06-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-07.
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[2019 European Games] Estonia to win at least one medal in fencing ( 41% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-30; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-25.
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[2019 European Games] Estonia to win at least 1 gold medal ( 53% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-30; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-01.
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[2019 European Games] Host country Belarus to win at least 1 gold medal ( 93% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-30; judged right by Cato on 2019-06-25.
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[2019 European Games] Russia to win the most medals ( 90% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-30; judged right by Cato on 2019-07-01.
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[2019 European Games] Russia to win the most bronze medals ( 62% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-30; judged right by Cato on 2019-07-01.
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[2019 European Games] Russia to win the most silver medals ( 78% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-30; judged right by Cato on 2019-07-01.
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[2019 European Games] Russia to win the most gold medals ( 85% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-30; judged right by Cato on 2019-07-01.
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[Fighting] UFC 239 to be held as scheduled on July 6, 2019 ( 98% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-07-06; judged right by Cato on 2019-07-09.
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[Fighting] UFC 238 to be held as scheduled on June 8, 2019 ( 98% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-08; judged right by stepan on 2019-06-08.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Nov-Dec-Jan 2019/2020 to be] between -0.5 and 0.5, indicating neutral conditions ( 39% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2020-02-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-02-29.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Nov-Dec-Jan 2019/2020 to be] 0.5 or higher, indicating El Niño conditions ( 46% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2020-02-14; judged right by Cato on 2020-02-29.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Nov-Dec-Jan 2019/2020 to be] -0.5 or lower, indicating La Niña conditions ( 13% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2020-02-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-02-29.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Oct-Nov-Dec 2019 to be] between -0.5 and 0.5, indicating neutral conditions ( 44% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2020-01-14; judged right by Cato on 2020-01-10.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Oct-Nov-Dec 2019 to be] 0.5 or higher, indicating El Niño conditions ( 43% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2020-01-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-10.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Oct-Nov-Dec 2019 to be] -0.5 or lower, indicating La Niña conditions ( 16% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2020-01-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-10.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Sep-Oct-Nov 2019 to be] between -0.5 and 0.5, indicating neutral conditions ( 50% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-12-14; judged right by Cato on 2019-12-09.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Sep-Oct-Nov 2019 to be] 0.5 or higher, indicating El Niño conditions ( 42% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-12-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-09.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Sep-Oct-Nov 2019 to be] -0.5 or lower, indicating La Niña conditions ( 9% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-12-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-09.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Aug-Sep-Oct 2019 to be] between -0.5 and 0.5, indicating neutral conditions ( 48% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-11-14; judged right by Cato on 2019-11-05.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Aug-Sep-Oct 2019 to be] 0.5 or higher, indicating El Niño conditions ( 41% confidence; 11 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-11-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-05.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Aug-Sep-Oct 2019 to be] -0.5 or lower, indicating La Niña conditions ( 7% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-11-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-05.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Jul-Aug-Sep 2019 to be] between -0.5 and 0.5, indicating neutral conditions ( 41% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-10-14; judged right by Cato on 2019-10-10.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Jul-Aug-Sep 2019 to be] 0.5 or higher, indicating El Niño conditions ( 53% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-10-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-10-10.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Jul-Aug-Sep 2019 to be] -0.5 or lower, indicating La Niña conditions ( 6% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-10-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-10-10.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Jun-Jul-Aug 2019 to be] between -0.5 and 0.5, indicating neutral conditions ( 30% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-09-14; judged right by Cato on 2019-09-05.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Jun-Jul-Aug 2019 to be] 0.5 or higher, indicating El Niño conditions ( 64% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-09-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-05.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Jun-Jul-Aug 2019 to be] -0.5 or lower, indicating La Niña conditions ( 7% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-09-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-05.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for May-Jun-Jul 2019 to be] between -0.5 and 0.5, indicating neutral conditions ( 25% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-08-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-08-05.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for May-Jun-Jul 2019 to be] 0.5 or higher, indicating El Niño conditions ( 70% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-08-14; judged right by Cato on 2019-08-05.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for May-Jun-Jul 2019 to be] -0.5 or lower, indicating La Niña conditions ( 7% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-08-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-08-05.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Apr-May-Jun 2019 to be] between -0.5 and 0.5, indicating neutral conditions ( 21% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-07-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-10.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Apr-May-Jun 2019 to be] 0.5 or higher, indicating El Niño conditions ( 75% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-07-14; judged right by Cato on 2019-07-10.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Apr-May-Jun 2019 to be] -0.5 or lower, indicating La Niña conditions ( 6% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-07-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-10.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Mar-Apr-May 2019 to be] between -0.5 and 0.5, indicating neutral conditions ( 10% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-04.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Mar-Apr-May 2019 to be] 0.5 or higher, indicating El Niño conditions ( 78% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-14; judged right by Cato on 2019-06-04.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Mar-Apr-May 2019 to be] -0.5 or lower, indicating La Niña conditions ( 3% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-04.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Feb-Mar-Apr 2019 to be] between -0.5 and 0.5, indicating neutral conditions ( 19% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-05-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-08.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Feb-Mar-Apr 2019 to be] 0.5 or higher, indicating El Niño conditions ( 77% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-05-14; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-08.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Feb-Mar-Apr 2019 to be] -0.5 or lower, indicating La Niña conditions ( 3% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-05-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-08.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Jan-Feb-Mar 2019 to be] between -0.5 and 0.5, indicating neutral conditions ( 24% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-04-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-04-10.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Jan-Feb-Mar 2019 to be] 0.5 or higher, indicating El Niño conditions ( 74% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-04-14; judged right by Cato on 2019-04-10.
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[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Jan-Feb-Mar 2019 to be] -0.5 or lower, indicating La Niña conditions ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-04-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-04-10.
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[US Politics] At least one Democratic candidate who participates in the first (June) debate to end/suspend campaign before the second (July) debate ( 72% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-08-01; judged right by Cato on 2019-07-09.
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[US Politics] Mueller report to state explicitly that Donald Trump is guilty of a crime, or that sufficient evidence exists to justify indictment ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-05-19.
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[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] OECD inventory to exceed 2900 MMb ( 56% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16; judged right by Cato on 2019-12-13.
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[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] OPEC to produce at least 32 MMbpd ( 38% confidence; 11 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-13.
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[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] UK to produce at least 1.4 MMbpd ( 24% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-13.
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[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] Nigeria to produce at least 1.7 MMbpd ( 57% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-13.
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[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] Venezuela to produce at least 1 MMbpd ( 41% confidence; 11 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-13.
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[Commodities: Crude oil in August 2019] OECD inventory to exceed 2900 MMb ( 49% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-09-16; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-15.
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[Commodities: Crude oil in August 2019] OPEC to produce at least 31 MMbpd ( 51% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-09-16; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-15.
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[Commodities: Crude oil in August 2019] UK to produce at least 1.3 MMbpd ( 43% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-09-16; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-15.
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[Commodities: Crude oil in August 2019] Nigeria to produce at least 1.6 MMbpd ( 68% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-09-16; judged right by Cato on 2019-09-15.
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[Commodities: Crude oil in August 2019] Venezuela to produce at least 1.1 MMbpd ( 33% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-09-16; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-15.
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[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] OECD inventory to exceed 2900 MMb ( 44% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16; judged right by Cato on 2019-06-12.
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[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] OPEC to produce at least 31 MMbpd ( 39% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-12.
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[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] UK to produce at least 1.3 MMbpd ( 38% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-12.
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[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] Nigeria to produce at least 1.5 MMbpd ( 78% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16; judged right by Cato on 2019-06-12.
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[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] Venezuela to produce at least 1.2 MMbpd ( 28% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-12.
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[Commodities] The next edition of BP's “Statistical Review of World Energy” to report a HIGHER global R/P ratio for oil than the present 50.2 ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-11-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-13.
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The UK to leave the EU without a deal on 29 March ( 14% confidence; 12 wagers )
Created by 6thNapoleon on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-03-30; judged wrong by 6thNapoleon on 2019-03-30.
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OPEC to have more than 14 members at August 2019 EOM ( 12% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-01.
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OPEC to have fewer than 14 members at August 2019 EOM ( 10% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-01.
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OPEC to have exactly 14 members at August 2019 EOM ( 77% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01; judged right by Cato on 2019-09-01.
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Indonesia to be a member of OPEC at August 2019 EOM ( 4% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-01.
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Qatar to be a member of OPEC at August 2019 EOM ( 4% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-01.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] higher than $100 ( 5% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-07.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] between $50 and $59.99 ( 18% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-07.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] between $40 and $49.99 ( 7% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] under $40 ( 3% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-07.
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[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] higher than $100 ( 3% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-05.