My armodafinil shipment will arrive within 2 weeks
Created by gwern on 2012-02-06; known on 2012-02-18; judged right by gwern on 2012-02-17.
- gwern estimated 35% on 2012-02-06
- gwern said “arrived an hour ago. talk about cutting it close!” on 2012-02-17
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2012-02-17.
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