Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Displaying all predictions made by bbb. Filter by:
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China will attempt an invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025. ( 20% confidence; 18 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by najdorf on 2021-04-09; known on 2025-12-31.
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[Next Coalition in Germany:] SPD+CDU/CSU ( 15% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by amadeu on 2021-10-01; known on 2022-01-01; judged wrong by amadeu on 2021-12-06.
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[Next Coalition in Germany:] CDU/CSU+Greens+FDP ( 13% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by amadeu on 2021-10-01; known on 2022-01-01; judged wrong by amadeu on 2021-12-06.
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[Next Coalition in Germany:] SPD+Greens+FDP ( 73% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by amadeu on 2021-10-01; known on 2022-01-01; judged right by amadeu on 2021-12-06.
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At least one large website (alexa 10k) or fortune-500 company's services will be disrupted by the Y38 problem ( 50% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2021-09-22; known on 2038-01-21.
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[Bitcoin price on January 1st, 2022 >] $10k. ( 92% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by krazemon on 2021-02-23; known on 2022-01-01; judged right by krazemon on 2022-01-01.
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A company with its main activity being cultured meat and/or dairy products will be valued at >= 1bn 2020USD by January 1st, 2030. ( 72% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Mati on 2020-02-23; known on 2030-01-01.