Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11751 | 16422 | 16888 | 17550 | 31268 | 8024 | 101903 |
Judged Predictions
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Lib Dems win Cambridge at next election. ( 59% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-12-06; known on 2015-05-07; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.
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Ukip will have five or less seats following the UK general election. ( 48% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by roreiy on 2015-01-03; known on 2015-05-07; judged right by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.
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The Labour Party will have the largest number of seats following the UK GE. ( 60% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by roreiy on 2015-01-03; known on 2015-05-07; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.
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The Conservative Party will have the largest number of seats following the UK GE. ( 37% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by roreiy on 2015-01-03; known on 2015-05-07; judged right by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.
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UKIP will have more seats than the Liberal Democrats following the next UK general election ( 21% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by RoryS on 2015-03-30; known on 2015-05-07; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.
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Labour will win the most seats in the next UK general election. ( 58% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-06-06; known on 2015-05-07; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.
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My bus will arrive by 11:45 ( 50% confidence )
Created by TheBlackFox on 2015-05-08; known on 2015-05-08; judged right by TheBlackFox on 2015-05-08.
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Nathan will like Peep Show ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by RoryS on 2015-04-21; known on 2015-04-28; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-08.
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The next UK general election will be held on 7 May 2015 ( 97% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-05-22; known on 2015-05-07; judged right by rebellionkid on 2015-05-07.
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He replies something like, 'just the end?' or 'whole course tbh' on Twitter by midnight ending 2015-05-06 ( 38% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-05-03; known on 2015-05-07; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-05-07.
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We will win the game on BGO ( 50% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-06; known on 2015-05-06; judged wrong by RoryS on 2015-05-06.
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I will feel confident after the exam tomorrow ( 70% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-05; known on 2015-05-06; judged right by RoryS on 2015-05-06.
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I will arrive at the exam on time tomorrow ( 90% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-05; known on 2015-05-06; judged right by RoryS on 2015-05-06.
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The contract gets signed tomorrow ( 60% confidence )
Created by rebellionkid on 2015-05-05; known on 2015-05-06; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-05-06.
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Lee is telling the truth ( 10% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-05; known on 2015-05-05; judged wrong by RoryS on 2015-05-05.
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Jo is telling the truth ( 65% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-05; known on 2015-05-05; judged right by RoryS on 2015-05-05.
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David is telling the truth ( 15% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-05; known on 2015-05-05; judged wrong by RoryS on 2015-05-05.
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Paul is telling the truth ( 20% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-05; known on 2015-05-05; judged wrong by RoryS on 2015-05-05.
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Paul is lying ( 60% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-05; known on 2015-05-05; judged wrong by RoryS on 2015-05-05.
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Chelsea will win the premier league ( 25% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-06; known on 2015-06-16; judged right by RoryS on 2015-05-05.
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Juventus will win this game ( 60% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-05; known on 2015-05-05; judged right by RoryS on 2015-05-05.
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My curry will taste good ( 80% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-05; known on 2015-05-05; judged right by RoryS on 2015-05-05.
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I will do all the revision tasks I have set for myself in the next working day ( 70% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-04; known on 2015-05-04; judged wrong by RoryS on 2015-05-05.
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George Galloway will not appear in the main televised debates in the run up to the general election. ( 95% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-02-03; known on 2015-05-16; judged right by rebellionkid on 2015-05-05.
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Nick Clegg will remain in the cabinet until the next general election. ( 88% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-06-06; known on 2015-05-07; judged right by rebellionkid on 2015-05-05.
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Ed Miliband will lead the Labour party to the next general election. ( 75% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-05-26; known on 2015-05-07; judged right by rebellionkid on 2015-05-05.
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Nick Clegg will lead the Lib Dems into the next general election. ( 89% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-05-26; known on 2015-05-07; judged right by rebellionkid on 2015-05-05.
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Any Lab>UKIP defection this parliament ( 30% confidence )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-09-27; known on 2015-05-07; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-05-05.
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I will move onto the next section of Python, in this online course, by the end of today. ( 60% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-04; known on 2015-05-04; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-04.
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My cat will have food in his bowl when I go to check. ( 80% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-04; known on 2015-05-04; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-04.
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I will read some more Less Wrong articles by the end of today. ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-02; known on 2015-05-03; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-04.
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I will have completed more than 40% of the Python course by the end of today. ( 50% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-02; known on 2015-05-03; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-04.
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I will have completed more than 40% of the Python course by the end of today. ( 50% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-02; known on 2015-05-03; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-04.
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I will redownload Tera today, hopefully it will have no problems. ( 75% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-02; known on 2015-05-03; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-04.
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Spurs beat the Clippers ( 75% confidence )
Created by Adam Zerner on 2015-04-17; known on 2015-05-01; judged wrong by Adam Zerner on 2015-05-04.
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FMK will talk to me by or on 03/05 ( 14% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-05-04; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-05-04.
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I will geht at least 30xp playing Space Alert tonight. ( 55% confidence )
Created by Chri on 2015-05-03; known on 2015-05-04; judged right by Chri on 2015-05-04.
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Wie will only play Space Alert tonight. ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Chri on 2015-05-03; known on 2015-05-04; judged right by Chri on 2015-05-04.
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Amanda Knox will be found guilty by the Italian Supreme Court. ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by adbge on 2014-01-31; known on 2018-01-31; judged wrong by CarlShulman on 2015-05-04.
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Floyd Mayweather will defeat Manny Pacquiao. ( 55% confidence )
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2015-05-01; known on 2015-05-02; judged right by btrettel on 2015-05-03.
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I will complete everything on my revision list before I leave the library ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-02; known on 2015-05-03; judged right by RoryS on 2015-05-03.
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Area of a regular n-gon is ns^2/(4tan(pi/n)) ( 46% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-05-03; known on 2015-05-03; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-05-03.
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My thread on the League Forums has likely been downvoted. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-02; known on 2015-05-02; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-02.
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The temperature for today will be 14-15c when I check BBC weather. ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-02; known on 2015-05-02; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-02.
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The /r/theButton will expire in a week ( 19% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by VoidChronos on 2015-04-25; known on 2015-05-02; judged wrong by timujin on 2015-05-02.
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I will go to the library today ( 90% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-02; known on 2015-05-02; judged right by RoryS on 2015-05-02.
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I go to P this week/c 2015-04-27 Monday ( 70% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-29; known on 2015-05-03; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-05-02.
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I will get hired as a full employee (non-contractor) by a software company within a week from now. ( 45% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2015-04-24; known on 2015-05-01; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2015-05-02.
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I will end up disputing a claim Edmund makes before I go home ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-01; known on 2015-05-02; judged right by RoryS on 2015-05-02.
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Moises will make a Facebook status with the word 'haha' or some laughter variant before the end of the day ( 70% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-01; known on 2015-05-01; judged wrong by RoryS on 2015-05-02.