Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 83% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
Displaying all predictions made by Konsti. Filter by:
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[After this years election the German chancellor will be from] none of these parties ( 1% confidence )
Created by Konsti on 2021-04-02; known on 2022-03-01; judged wrong by amadeu on 2022-04-21.
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[After this years election the German chancellor will be from] FDP (liberal party) ( 2% confidence )
Created by Konsti on 2021-04-02; known on 2022-03-01; judged wrong by amadeu on 2022-04-21.
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[After this years election the German chancellor will be from] Die Linke (socialist party) ( 3% confidence )
Created by Konsti on 2021-04-02; known on 2022-03-01; judged wrong by amadeu on 2022-04-21.
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[After this years election the German chancellor will be from] AfD (nationalist party) ( 2% confidence )
Created by Konsti on 2021-04-02; known on 2022-03-01; judged wrong by amadeu on 2022-04-21.
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[After this years election the German chancellor will be from] SPD (social democratic party) ( 12% confidence )
Created by Konsti on 2021-04-02; known on 2022-03-01; judged right by amadeu on 2022-04-21.
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[After this years election the German chancellor will be from] Bündnis '90 die Grünen (green party) ( 41% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Konsti on 2021-04-02; known on 2022-03-01; judged wrong by atzeje on 2022-01-04.
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[After this years election the German chancellor will be from] CDU or CSU (conservative party) ( 40% confidence )
Created by Konsti on 2021-04-02; known on 2022-03-01; judged wrong by amadeu on 2022-04-21.
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humans on mars by 2030 ( 28% confidence; 13 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by htaussig on 2021-03-20; known on 2030-01-01.
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Another baby born from an embryo publicly declared to have been modified with CRISPR (or another gene editing complex). ( 4% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by krazemon on 2021-02-23; known on 2022-01-01; judged wrong by krazemon on 2022-01-01.
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Manually driving a car will be outlawed in the U.S. by 2035 ( 9% confidence; 11 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-27; known on 2036-01-01; judged unknown by InquilineKea on 2015-08-04.
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'We will eradicate malaria, I believe, to the point where there are no human cases reported globally in 2035' —Tachi Yamada ( 39% confidence; 9 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by gwern on 2011-01-03; known on 2036-01-01.