Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 54% | 45% | 65% | 67% | 67% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 13 | 44 | 23 | 36 | 48 | 3 | 167 |
Displaying all predictions made by Matt. Filter by:
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The world will not end when the LHC is activated ( 99% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-04; known on 2008-07-08; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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Obama will be the next US president. ( 74% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Lina on 2008-06-29; known on 2008-11-08; judged right by Glenn on 2008-11-05.
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Movies have a smaller relative market share now than 10 yrs ago ( 75% confidence )
Created by Matt on 2008-06-24; known on 2008-06-24; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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There will be more than 10,000 predictions on pbook by end 08. ( 71% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Lina on 2008-06-20; known on 2009-01-01; judged wrong by Glenn on 2009-01-08.
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pbook will not be released to the web by xmas 08 ( 54% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Trainor on 2008-06-20; known on 2008-12-30; judged right by Matt on 2009-01-14.